Euclidean Distance Modeling of Musi River in Controlling the Dengue Epidemic Transmission in Palembang City

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Various attempts have been made to control the population of Aedes aegypti with the help of chemicals or by engineering Wolbachia pipentis, an obligate intracellular bacterium that is passed down through DENV and arbovirus infections to manipulate the monthly average reproductive yield. This study reviews the phenomenon of the river border area which is one of the habitats for the Aedes aegypti mosquito in the Musi River, Palembang City.
 AIM: The application of the euclidean distance method in this study was carried out to determine the environmental exposure of settlements along the river basin area.
 METHODS: The research methodology was carried out objectively related to data on dengue incidence in 2019. It was carried out by taking location coordinates through the application of geographic information systems and the use of satellite imagery for data acquisition of existing buildings. This stage is followed by bivariate statistical calculations using the application of WoE where the probability value of the measurement is described using the Area Under Curve. Processing and accumulation carried out with existing buildings will result in a calculation of the estimated size of the exposure area.
 RESULTS: The results obtained provide information, where the natural breaks jeanks value of 0.007-0.016 range results in 1465ha of heavily exposed building area. The value of the temporary bivariate statistical calculation will produce an AUC probability number of 0.44 which describes the relationship between the Musi river and the findings of dengue symptoms in the sub-districts around the Musi river border area, Palembang City. Swamp soil conditions are vulnerable to being a habitat where Aedes aegypti larvae are found.
 CONCLUSIONS: Based on the analysis that we obtained from the population of dengue incidence and the condition of the river basin area showed a significant structure with the distribution of dengue incidence, it is known that the presence of buildings on the river Musi banks has a greater risk of infectious diseases transmissions and natural disasters ranging from sanitation, hygiene, flooding to river erosion.

Environmental potential of Aedes Aegypti Mosquitoes for Dengue haemorrhagic fever in Pekanbaru, Indonesia

“…Some public health experts are shifting their focus away from disease etiology models that are based on individual risk factors and toward more complicated models that include the impacts of the physical and social environment (Geanuracos et al, 2007;Sekarrini, Sumarmi, Bachri, Taryana, & Giofandi, 2022). Areas with a poor socioeconomic class and a high number of slum homes are important criteria to consider when doing epidemiological research to see if disease clustering exists, starting with a rational interpretation of the population at risk (Ernst et al, 2013;Gillam & Charles, 2019;Wamukoya et al, 2020).…”

Analisis Faktor Spasial Terhadap Kejadian Demam Berdarah Dengue Menggunakan Pendekatan Geographically Weighted Regression di Kota Pekanbaru, Provinsi Riau

“…Menurut (Servadio et al 2018) kepadatan penduduk merupakan faktor yang penting dalam transmisi penyakit DBD, karena vektor nyamuk Aedes aegypti cenderung berada di wilayah perkotaan yang padat penduduk (Giofandi and Umar 2021). Di daerah perkotaan dengan kepadatan bangunan yang berdekatan menjadi tempat ideal nyamuk dewasa untuk berkembang biak, sebab sinar matahari tidak dapat menembus area ini dengan baik sehingga meningkatkan risiko nyamuk Aedes aegypti betina memiliki tempat lembab yang cocok untuk bertelur, terutama di area yang sering terkena tetesan air, seperti dari Air Conditioner (Sekarrini et al 2022a). Vektor nyamuk Aedes aegypti dikaitkan dengan tempat tinggal manusia yang rapat sehingga mudah berpindah antar bangunan untuk mencari makan dan istirahat selama periode tidak aktif, sedangkan menurut (Sumanasinghe et al 2016) curah hujan merupakan salah satu faktor penyebaran penyakit DBD.…”