Objectives
The primary objective of this multicenter registry was to study the prognostic value of PET MPI and the improved classification of risk in a large cohort of patients with suspected or known coronary artery disease (CAD).
Background
Limited prognostic data are available for myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) with positron emission tomography (PET).
Methods
7,061 patients from 4 centers underwent a clinically indicated rest/stress rubidium-82 PET MPI with a median follow-up of 2.2 years. The primary outcome of this study was cardiac-death (169 patients) and the secondary outcome was all-cause death (570 patients). Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination (IDI) analyses were performed.
Results
Risk-adjusted hazard of cardiac-death increased with each 10% abnormal myocardium with mildly, moderately or severely abnormal stress PET [hazard ratio 2.3 (95% CI 1.4–3.8, P=0.001), 4.2 (95% CI 2.3–7.5, P<0.001), and 4.9 (95% CI 2.5–9.6, P <0.0001), respectively, normal MPI: referent]. Addition of %myocardium ischemic and scarred to clinical information (age, female sex, body mass index, history of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, smoking, angina, betablocker use, prior revascularization and rest heart rate) improved the model performance [C-statistic 0.805 (95% CI, 0.772–0.838) to 0.839 (95% CI, 0.809–0.869)] and risk reclassification for cardiac-death [NRI 0.116 (95% CI 0.021–0.210)] with smaller improvements in risk assessment for all-cause death.
Conclusions
In patients with known or suspected CAD, the extent and severity of ischemia and scar on PET MPI provide powerful and incremental risk estimates of cardiac-death and all-cause death compared to traditional coronary risk factors.