“…Globally, tropicalised shallow reefs share two key phenomena: a loss of temperate seaweed forests as the dominant habitat formers and increases in tropical/subtropical species. Different regions, however, differ in which taxa end up dominating the seafloor, with three potential trajectories identified for warming temperate reefs globally (Figure ): - Seaweed‐dominated reefs (e.g., Japan)—these systems may emerge if tropical seaweed species (Figure b) replace temperate canopy‐formers, as in some southern Japan reefs (Tanaka, Taino, Haraguchi, Prendergast, & Hiraoka, ; Terazono et al, ) or, hypothetically, such a system may develop if some temperate seaweeds adapt to their new environment and persist into the future.
- Turf‐dominated reefs (e.g., eastern Mediterranean)—these systems are characterised by low structural complexity and simplified food webs, as canopy seaweeds become replaced by low‐biomass turfing algae (Figure c; Vergés, Tomas, et al, ; Filbee‐Dexter & Wernberg, )
- Turf‐ and coral‐dominated reefs (e.g., Japan, Australia, Korea)—in these systems warm‐temperate corals and/or range‐expanding tropical corals coexist with turf algae (Figure d), which have replaced seaweeds as the dominant primary producers (Tuckett et al, ; Vergés et al, ; Wernberg et al, ; Yamano, Sugihara, & Nomura, ).
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