2014
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2539606
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Exploiting Big Data in Logistics Risk Assessment via Bayesian Nonparametrics

Abstract: In cargo logistics, a key performance measure is transport risk, defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time. Neither earliness nor tardiness is desirable for the customer and freight forwarder. In this paper, we investigate ways to assess and forecast transport risks using a half-year of air cargo data, provided by a leading forwarder on 1336 routes served by 20 airlines. Interestingly, our preliminary data analysis shows a strong multimodal feature in the transport risks… Show more

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Cited by 15 publications
(16 citation statements)
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“…Shang et al. () explore the cargo logistics risk (CLR), defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time, using Bayesian statistics. The authors focus on a flexible estimation of the conditional density function of the CLR by making use of big air cargo data.…”
Section: Big Data In Om Studiesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Shang et al. () explore the cargo logistics risk (CLR), defined as the deviation of the actual arrival time from the planned arrival time, using Bayesian statistics. The authors focus on a flexible estimation of the conditional density function of the CLR by making use of big air cargo data.…”
Section: Big Data In Om Studiesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These models are able to determine whether a firm is prone to supply, demand, product or external disruptions. Bayesian prediction is used in Shang, Dunson, and Song (2017) to assess transport time risks in air cargo supply chains. Li and Wang (2017) use big data collected by sensors in a food supply chain to dynamically predict the product time-temperature profile and adjust prices accordingly.…”
Section: Machine Learning and Big Datamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…2014, Ryzhov et al., 2015, Shang et al. 2017), design data‐driven targeted promotions (Arora et al. 2008, Choudhary and Shivendu 2017, Fong et al.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%