Missing covariates is a common issue when fitting meta-regression models. Standard practice for handling missing covariates tends to involve one of two approaches. In a complete-case analysis, effect sizes for which relevant covariates are missing are omitted from model estimation. Alternatively, researchers have employed the so-called "shifting units of analysis" wherein complete-case analyses are conducted on only certain subsets of relevant covariates. In this article, we clarify conditions under which these approaches generate unbiased estimates of regression coefficients. We find that unbiased estimates are possible when the probability of observing a covariate is completely independent of effect sizes.When that does not hold, regression coefficient estimates may be biased. We study the potential magnitude of that bias assuming a log-linear model of missingness and find that the bias can be substantial, as large as Cohen's d = 0.4-0.8 depending on the missingness mechanism.
K E Y W O R D Scomplete-case analysis, meta-regression, missing data, shifting units of analysis
HighlightsMissing covariates are a common problem when conducting meta-regressions. A common practice for meta-regression analyses has been to ignore effects for which covariates are missing. However, a vast statistical literature suggests that analyses that ignore missing data can only provide accurate estimates of relevant quantitites under certain conditions. In this article, we examine conditions under which ignoring missing covariates in a meta-regression can still lead to unbiased estimation of regression coefficients. We also investigate the possible magnitude and sources of bias when those conditions do not hold. Our findings highlight that substantial bias can be induced by ignoring missing data in a meta-regression.
| INTRODUCTIONMeta-regression is a useful tool for studying important sources of variation between effects in a meta-analysis. 1,2 Analyses of these models in the absence of missing data have been studied thoroughly in the literature. [3][4][5][6][7] However, it is common for meta-analytic datasets to be missing data. 8 In the context of meta-regression,