Objective
To evaluate the risk of reclassification on serial biopsy for Caucasian and African American (AA) men with very low risk PCa enrolled in a large prospective AS registry.
Methods
The Johns Hopkins AS registry is a prospective observational study that has enrolled 982 men since 1994. Including only men who met all National Comprehensive Cancer Network VLR criteria (clinical stage ≤T1, Gleason ≤6, PSA <10 ng/ml, PSA density <0.15 ng/ml/cc, positive cores <3, percent cancer per core ≤50), we analyzed a cohort of 654 men (615 Caucasian, 39 AA). The association of race with reclassification on serial biopsy was assessed with competing risks regressions.
Results
AA on AS were more likely than Caucasians to experience upgrading on serial biopsy (36% vs 16%, adjusted p<0.001). Adjusting for PSA, prostate size, volume of cancer on biopsy, treatment year, and BMI, AA race was an independent predictor of biopsy reclassification (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 1.8, p=0.003). Examining specific modes of reclassification, AA race was independently associated with reclassification by grade (sHR 3.0, p=0.002) but not by volume.
Conclusions
AA with VLR PCa followed on AS are at significantly higher risk of grade reclassification as compared to Caucasians. Therefore, if the goal of AS is to selectively monitor men with low grade disease, AA men may require alternate selection criteria.