Factors determining residents’ preparedness for floods in modern megalopolises: the case of the Tokai flood disaster in Japan

Takao, Kenji; Motoyoshi, Tadahiro; Sato, Teruko; Fukuzondo, Teruki; Seo, Kami; Ikeda, Saburo

doi:10.1080/1366987031000075996

Cited by 129 publications

(102 citation statements)

References 2 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…More literature is available on private flood mitigation e.g. in Denmark (Koerth et al 2013), France (Poussin, Botzen, and Aerts 2013), Italy (Miceli, Sotgiu, and Settanni 2008), Japan (Takao et al 2004;Zhai et al 2006), Switzerland (Siegrist and Gutscher 2008), the UK (Bichard and Kazmierczak 2012), and the US (Carson, McCullough, and Pooser 2013;Lindell and Hwang 2008). The sample sizes of the household surveys and the statistical analyses vary between less than 150 (Koerth et al 2013) and more than 2000 (Takao et al 2004).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…in Denmark (Koerth et al 2013), France (Poussin, Botzen, and Aerts 2013), Italy (Miceli, Sotgiu, and Settanni 2008), Japan (Takao et al 2004;Zhai et al 2006), Switzerland (Siegrist and Gutscher 2008), the UK (Bichard and Kazmierczak 2012), and the US (Carson, McCullough, and Pooser 2013;Lindell and Hwang 2008). The sample sizes of the household surveys and the statistical analyses vary between less than 150 (Koerth et al 2013) and more than 2000 (Takao et al 2004). The studied mitigation measures are defined according to the specific contexts and locations but they can be categorised into three groups with regard to their specific scope and purpose (Bubeck et al 2013;Kreibich et al 2005): First of all, 'adapted use'-options are behavioural measures which are implemented in order to avoid economic damage in case the house is (partly) flooded, such as avoidance of expensive furnishing in exposed storeys.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…using floodresistant paint coats or floor materials. Several studies also count 'information-seeking' as a kind of proactive mitigation measure because informed households possess superior knowledge of how to behave in the case of a flood to keep damages small (Grothmann and Reusswig 2006;Kievik and Gutteling 2011;Koerth et al 2013;Takao et al 2004;Terpstra and Lindell 2012;Thieken et al 2007). …”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

The determinants of private flood mitigation measures in Germany — Evidence from a nationwide survey

Osberghaus

2015

Ecological Economics

137

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Die Dis cus si on Pape rs die nen einer mög lichst schnel len Ver brei tung von neue ren For schungs arbei ten des ZEW. Die Bei trä ge lie gen in allei ni ger Ver ant wor tung der Auto ren und stel len nicht not wen di ger wei se die Mei nung des ZEW dar.Dis cus si on Papers are inten ded to make results of ZEW research prompt ly avai la ble to other eco no mists in order to encou ra ge dis cus si on and sug gesti ons for revi si ons. The aut hors are sole ly respon si ble for the con tents which do not neces sa ri ly repre sent the opi ni on of the ZEW. AbstractPublic flood protection cannot totally eliminate the risk of flooding. Hence, private mitigation measures which proactively protect homes from being flooded or reduce flood damage are an essential part of modern flood risk management. This study analyses private flood mitigation measures among German households. The dataset covers more than 6000 households from all parts of the country, including flood plains as well as areas which are typically not at a high risk of riverine flooding. The results suggest that the propensity to mitigate flood damage increases i.a. with past damage experience and damage expectations for the future. The latter effect can be interpreted as a 'climate adaptation signal' in the flood mitigation behaviour. All other factors remaining equal, a strong belief in a climate-change-induced increase of personal flood damage in the next decades induces an increase of the probability of flood mitigation by more than 10 percentage points. Moreover, strong evidence for moral hazard effects in the flood mitigation behaviour cannot be observed. Households expecting insurance coverage do not reduce their mitigation efforts. Likewise, the expectation of government relief payments hinders mitigation only for some groups of households.

show abstract

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The determinants of private flood mitigation measures in Germany — Evidence from a nationwide survey

Osberghaus

2015

Ecological Economics

137

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The general hypothesis is that people will be more prepared if they are aware of, and understand the dangers associated with, a prospective flooding event, thereby lowering the impacts of an inundation (Botzen et (Takao et al, 2004), place attachment (Mishra et al 2010) and an emotional desire to feel secure in one's home (Harries, 2008).…”

Section: Awarenessmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This shift has largely been driven by a growing recognition that 'hard' measures alone are no longer sufficient to adequately protect communities at risk of flooding. Not only are physical flood defences problematic due to their capital intensive nature (Takao et al, 2004), there is also the omnipresent concern that they cannot completely eliminate the threat of flooding as a degree of residual risk inevitably Despite a plethora of 'softer' measures being promoted at the European level to advance a more holistic approach to flood-risk management, in practice the transition has been slow in many countries (see Dzialek et al, 2013). This has been particularly pronounced in relation to individual preparedness measures where there is empirical evidence to suggest that a significant policy-practice gap exists where many 'at-risk' individuals do very little (or indeed nothing at all) to protect themselves from risk of damage, injury or loss of life caused by prospective flooding events.…”

Section: Introduction: From Flood-risk Prevention To Flood-risk Prepamentioning

confidence: 99%

Is there really “nothing you can do”? Pathways to enhanced flood-risk preparedness

Fox-Rogers

Devitt

O’Neill

et al. 2016

Journal of Hydrology

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Impact of social preparedness on flood early warning systems

Lopez

Baldassarre

Seibert

2017

Water Resources Research

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Flood early warning systems play a major role in the disaster risk reduction paradigm as cost‐effective methods to mitigate flood disaster damage. The connections and feedbacks between the hydrological and social spheres of early warning systems are increasingly being considered as key aspects for successful flood mitigation. The behavior of the public and first responders during flood situations, determined by their preparedness, is heavily influenced by many behavioral traits such as perceived benefits, risk awareness, or even denial. In this study, we use the recency of flood experiences as a proxy for social preparedness to assess its impact on the efficiency of flood early warning systems through a simple stylized model and implemented this model using a simple mathematical description. The main findings, which are based on synthetic data, point to the importance of social preparedness for flood loss mitigation, especially in circumstances where the technical forecasting and warning capabilities are limited. Furthermore, we found that efforts to promote and preserve social preparedness may help to reduce disaster‐induced losses by almost one half. The findings provide important insights into the role of social preparedness that may help guide decision‐making in the field of flood early warning systems.

show abstract

Factors determining residents’ preparedness for floods in modern megalopolises: the case of the Tokai flood disaster in Japan

Cited by 129 publications

References 2 publications

The determinants of private flood mitigation measures in Germany — Evidence from a nationwide survey

The determinants of private flood mitigation measures in Germany — Evidence from a nationwide survey

Is there really “nothing you can do”? Pathways to enhanced flood-risk preparedness

Impact of social preparedness on flood early warning systems

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About