Background
Metabolic response assessment for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) aids in identifying locoregional persistence/recurrence (LRR). The Hopkins Criteria are a standardized qualitative response assessment system using posttreatment FDG‐PET/CT.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients with node‐positive OPSCC treated with definitive (chemo)radiotherapy. We assessed Hopkins Criteria performance for LRR, then developed and validated a competing‐risks model.
Results
Between 2004 and 2018, 259 patients were included with median follow‐up of 43 months. The Hopkins Criteria sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, and accuracy were 68%, 88%, 95%, and 85%. The 36‐month cumulative incidence of LRR was greater with positive scores (45% vs. 5%, HR 12.60, p < 0.001). PET/CTs performed ≤10 weeks after radiotherapy were associated with a four‐fold increase in pathologically negative biopsies/surgeries (36% vs. 9%, p = 0.03). The AUC for LRR was 0.89 using a model integrating the Hopkins score.
Conclusions
The Hopkins Criteria predict LRR with high accuracy for OPSCC response assessment.