Five Years of Declining Annual Consumption of Grid-Supplied Electricity in Eastern Australia: Causes and Consequences

Sandiford, Mike; Forcey, Tim; Pears, Alan; McConnell, Dylan

doi:10.1016/j.tej.2015.07.007

Cited by 12 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…Australia’s largest transmission network is located along the country’s eastern seaboard, delivering power to 90% of the population 1 . Generators and loads within this network participate in the National Electricity Market (NEM), with the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) overseeing system operation.…”

Section: Background and Summarymentioning

confidence: 99%

Open grid model of Australia’s National Electricity Market allowing backtesting against historic data

Xenophon

Hill

2018

Sci Data

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Rising electricity prices, concerns regarding system security, and emissions reduction are central to an energy policy debate under way in Australia. To better evaluate mechanisms that seek to address the nexus of engineering, economic, and environmental challenges facing the country’s electricity system, we have constructed network and generator datasets describing the operation of Australia’s largest transmission network. These data have been collated using open-source software, and are available under an open license. They include the geospatial locations of network elements, and have been designed to interface with a public database maintained by the Australian Energy Market Operator. This interface allows historic data, such as generator dispatch and regional load signals, to be integrated with market models. Interactive network maps, independent datasets, and power-flow models have been used to assess the completeness and functionality of the derived datasets. In the context of Australia, these data can be used to examine geospatial and temporal impacts of power injections from renewables. More generally, they allow market models to be benchmarked against realised outcomes.

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Section: Background and Summarymentioning

confidence: 99%

Open grid model of Australia’s National Electricity Market allowing backtesting against historic data

Xenophon

Hill

2018

Sci Data

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“…A transition in this industry is clearly important. Third, there has been an unanticipated decline in electricity demand in Australia that challenges the profitability of incumbent commercial actors (Saddler 2013, Sandiford et al 2015) and so a reaction against new entrants such as renewables, drawing on diverse norms to bolster particular arguments, is likely. Contests around which norms should take precedence are likely to increase at such times, and understanding the fate of an environmental norm in such a context is important as challenges to incumbent fossil fuel-based industries increase.…”

Section: Exploring Normative Change: Institutions Normsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For example, the main impact of solar PV on the current electricity market may be more in terms of reducing the need to purchase electricity (use-value for individual householders) rather than as a form of micro-generation (self-sufficiency as exchange-value). This reduction in demand is one of the contributors to the overall decline in demand for electricity in Australia (Sandiford et al 2015). The carbon-intensive nature of the electricity supply in Australia means a reduction in demand is, to an extent at least, consistent with the development of an environmental norm within the NEM.…”

Section: The Rise and Impact Of The Prosumer?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Environmental norms and electricity supply: an analysis of normative change and household solar PV in Australia

Haines

McConnell

2016

Environmental Sociology

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“…The rapidly changing energy sector gives credence to the fact that "the future cannot be known as a result of past experiences" (Holt, Pressman & Spash 2009, p. 11 (Sandiford et al 2015). AEMO's modelling results found that electricity demand would increase by 14% during this period which signalled the need for sector expansion.…”

Section: Overview Of Traditional Energy Modelling Approachesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…AEMO's modelling results found that electricity demand would increase by 14% during this period which signalled the need for sector expansion. This forecast ultimately underpinned an overinvestment in electricity infrastructure resulting in a corresponding underutilisation of assets which helped to drive up electricity prices (Sandiford et al 2015).…”

Section: Overview Of Traditional Energy Modelling Approachesmentioning

confidence: 99%

A study of residential solar power and battery energy storage adoption dynamics

Agnew¹

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As the global response to anthropogenic climate change evolves, centralised electricity supply systems have become a key focus for emission reduction efforts. While governments and industry mobilise to decarbonise the electricity sector, substantial opportunities have also begun to emerge at the residential level. Recent dramatic growth in the rate of rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) adoption in Australia epitomises the opportunity, and the disruption, that can occur in response to falling technology costs, increasing retail electricity prices, and the emergence of more active and engaged electricity consumers.Residential battery energy storage is now on the threshold of mass-market uptake. When coupled with solar PV, battery technology could enable potentially millions of small-scale electricity endusers to participate in the market as both generators and consumers, reducing total system demand while challenging the business models of incumbent utilities. This development will not only amplify existing operational complexity in Australian electricity markets, but if the technology is poorly integrated, negatively impact the efficient provision of electricity, an essential service that underpins the structure and function of modern economies.There is a clear imperative for government and industry to proactively manage the integration of residential PV and battery energy storage to avoid adverse or unintended consequences. A number of these risks have received considerable academic and industry attention, particularly from a techno-economic viewpoint. However, there exists a substantial gap in the literature regarding research into battery adoption dynamics from a whole-of-system perspective addressing the multicausal, socially complex nature of the problem. This dissertation aims to address this gap by identifying the key dynamics that will underpin battery adoption, how they could influence battery deployment rates and how these dynamics will manifest along the broader electricity supply chain.To most effectively incorporate the substantial uncertainty and complexity associated with consumer-led electricity sector transitions in this regard, a systems thinking methodology supported by a mixed method approach to data collection has been used. To generate meaningful results at an appropriate level of granularity, the state of Queensland in Australia is used as a case study to conceptualise and model battery dynamics. Queensland has many of the preconditions necessary for rapid residential battery uptake, and with a centralised electricity sector worth more than AU$30 billion, understanding the drivers that may underpin disruption to this system is critical.ii Casual loop modelling, informed by an extensive participatory data collection exercise involving interviews with nearly 70 energy sector experts, was initially used to map the complex dynamics associated with residential battery adoption. This research found that a range of non-financial and financial reinforcing feedback loops encouraging battery ado...

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Five Years of Declining Annual Consumption of Grid-Supplied Electricity in Eastern Australia: Causes and Consequences

Cited by 12 publications

References 2 publications

Open grid model of Australia’s National Electricity Market allowing backtesting against historic data

Open grid model of Australia’s National Electricity Market allowing backtesting against historic data

Environmental norms and electricity supply: an analysis of normative change and household solar PV in Australia

A study of residential solar power and battery energy storage adoption dynamics

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