Flood Damage and Victims' Perceptions About Political Leadership

Akbar, Muhammad Siddique; Aldrich, Daniel P.

doi:10.1002/rhc3.12089

Cited by 15 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 20 publications

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“…We also assigned counties (or mapping jurisdictions in the cases of New York City and the Hampton Roads region, for example) a coastal dummy variable of “1” if they fell along the Atlantic, Gulf, or Pacific coasts according to NOAA (Strategic Environmental Assessment Division, ). These data, which includes socioeconomic characteristics, NFIP participation rates, political leanings, and scientific beliefs, were chosen because they have been discussed in prior literature or public debates as influencing flood mapping (Akbar & Aldrich, ; Bakkensen & Barrage, ; Baldauf, Garlappi, & Yannelis, ; Keller et al, ; Maantay & Maroko, ; Pralle , ; Sarmiento & Miller, ). Many of our variables serve as proxies for community size, wealth, and risk expertise, which we hypothesize, based on both academic literature and news articles on the topic, will influence the interest and ability of a community to contest flood maps.…”

Section: Methodology To Evaluate County‐level Map Adoption Heterogeneitymentioning

confidence: 99%

The Long Road to Adoption: How Long Does it Take to Adopt Updated County‐Level Flood Insurance Rate Maps?

Wilson¹,

Kousky²

2019

Risk Hazard & Crisis Pub Pol

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Floods cause the most damage of all natural disasters in the United States. Households and communities receive much of their information on flood hazards from maps produced by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). These maps have been criticized for many reasons: they use poor data, do not reflect a changing climate, do not capture rainfall flooding, create misperceptions about risk, and are often out of date. We examine this last concern, investigating how long it takes updated county‐level flood maps to be adopted across the country, using a unique nationwide data set from June 2014 to 2017. We find substantial heterogeneity in the time to adopt maps, with multiple outliers where the process far exceeds the time FEMA has estimated should be standard. Many factors may generate delay, including time for new data collection, technical challenges to revised maps, and community opposition. We also find there are differences in appeal rates and the timing of map revisions based on those appeals between inland and coastal counties and between higher and lower income communities. These correlations raise important questions for policymakers and scholars about the equity and accuracy of the nation's current approach to mapping changing flood risk.

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Section: Methodology To Evaluate County‐level Map Adoption Heterogeneitymentioning

confidence: 99%

The Long Road to Adoption: How Long Does it Take to Adopt Updated County‐Level Flood Insurance Rate Maps?

Wilson¹,

Kousky²

2019

Risk Hazard & Crisis Pub Pol

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“…Research on the 2011 earthquake and tsunami in Japan identified decreasing levels of trust in government (Uslaner, ; Uslaner & Yamamura, ). Perceptions of political leadership were also negatively affected by the 2010 Pakistan floods, particularly among citizens who had suffered material damage (Akbar & Aldrich, ).…”

Section: Political Trust and Satisfaction With The Government In Relamentioning

confidence: 99%

Government Accountability and Natural Disasters: The Impact of Natural Hazard Events on Political Trust and Satisfaction With Governments in Europe

Albrecht¹

2017

Risk Hazard & Crisis Pub Pol

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Do natural disasters generally affect individuals' political trust and satisfaction with the government? To answer this question, 10 cases of minor and major disasters in Europe are examined using a quasi-experimental quantitative design that is based on ordinary least squares regression models. The results indicate that alterations in satisfaction with the government are possible, but only occur in very specific instances, and that effects are small. Changes in political trust are even more unlikely. While it was expected that disasters and their management have at least some effect on how individuals perceive their government's performance because they hold incumbents accountable for their actions, generally speaking this effect hardly occurs in relation to natural disasters. Political attitudes among individuals appear largely unaffected and cases of disasters when incumbents benefit from or are blamed for the perceived management of disasters appear to be uncommon.KEY WORDS: political trust, satisfaction with the government, accountability 政府问责和自然灾害:自然灾害事件对欧洲政府政治信任和满意度的影响自然灾害总体上会影响个人对政府的政治信任和满意度吗？为回答这一问题, 本文检验了欧洲地区共10个大型和小型灾害案例, 检验方法运用了基于普通最小二乘回归模型(ordinary least squares regression models)的"准实验定量研究设计"(quasi-experimental quantitative design)。结果显示, 个人对政府满意度的变化仅在非常特定的条件下才有可能发生, 且变化产生的效果很小。政治信任发生变化的机率则更小。尽管人们预期灾害和灾害管理最少也会对个人如何感知政府表现产生影响(因为民众能让政府在职者对其行为进行问责), 然而总体而言, 这种预期的效果几乎不会发生。个人的政治态度在很大程度上都不受影响, 并且通常也不会发生在职者因民众对其灾害管理的感知而受到奖励或批评的情况。关键词: 政府信任, 政府满意度, 问责 La rendici on de cuentas por parte del gobierno y los desastres naturales: El impacto de los eventos de peligros naturales en la confianza política y la satisfacci on con los gobiernos en Europa ¿Afectan los desastres naturales generalmente la confianza política de los individuos y la satisfacci on con el gobierno? Para responder esta pregunta, diez casos de desastres menores y mayores en Europa se examinaron usando un diseño casi experimental que se basa en modelos ordinarios de regresi on del mínimo cuadr atico parcial. Los resultados indican que las alteraciones en satisfacci on con el gobierno son posibles, pero que solo ocurren en instancias muy específicas y los efectos son menores. Los cambios en confianza política son a un menos probables. Mientras que se esperaba que los desastres y su gesti on tuvieran por lo menos el mismo efecto en c omo los individuos perciben el desempeño de sus gobiernos porque hacen que los políticos rindan cuentas de sus acciones; generalmente hablando, este efecto ocurre rara vez en relaci on con los desastres naturales. Las actitudes políticas en los individuos parecen no ser afectadas en general y los casos de desastres cuando los políticos obtienen beneficios o se les culpa por su gesti on percibida de los desastres parecen no ser comunes.PALABRAS CLAVES: confianza política, satisfacci on con el gobierno, rendici on de cuentas

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“… Was the distribution of disaster assistance fair and just during flood recovery period? (adapted from Onstad et al., ; Akbar & Aldrich, ) …”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determinants of Post‐flood Social and Institutional Trust Among Disaster Victims

Akbar

Aldrich

2017

Contingencies & Crisis Mgmt

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The 2010 Pakistan floods affected a tenth of the population of that nation and one‐fifth of its land, killing more than 1,700 people. Many observers have wondered the degree to which mass emergencies affect how residents see their decision‐makers. We use original survey data from 450 Pakistan residents to evaluate the degree to which social and institutional trust were correlated with flood damage. Controlling for gender, educational level, occupation and flood experience, high material loss during the flood was negatively correlated with postflood trust levels. In contrast, housing stability and perceived fairness in the distribution of disaster aid were positively correlated with postflood levels of trust. Our study confirms past research on the variability of trust in postdisaster situations and the importance of investing in state–civil society relations.

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Flood Damage and Victims' Perceptions About Political Leadership

Cited by 15 publications

References 20 publications

The Long Road to Adoption: How Long Does it Take to Adopt Updated County‐Level Flood Insurance Rate Maps?

The Long Road to Adoption: How Long Does it Take to Adopt Updated County‐Level Flood Insurance Rate Maps?

Government Accountability and Natural Disasters: The Impact of Natural Hazard Events on Political Trust and Satisfaction With Governments in Europe

Determinants of Post‐flood Social and Institutional Trust Among Disaster Victims

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