Forecasting cargo growth and regional role of the port of Hong Kong

Seabrooke, W.; Hui, Eddie C.M.; Lam, William H. K.; Wong, Gordon K. C.

doi:10.1016/s0264-2751(02)00097-5

Cited by 81 publications

(39 citation statements)

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“…One of such authors is [13], who proposed an error-correction model for forecasting the demand for Hong Kong's container handling services. The same port was the subject of research carried out by [14], where a multiple linear regression model was used to identify the influence of different economic factors on the forecasted cargo throughput. In a similar way, a linear regression model was conducted in a research of [15], where the estimation of future volumes of Taiwan's import containers was the primary goal.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Container Throughput Forecasting Using Dynamic Factor Analysis and ARIMAX Model

Intihar

Kramberger

Dragan

2017

PROMET

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Container Throughput Forecasting Using Dynamic Factor Analysis and ARIMAX Model

Intihar

Kramberger

Dragan

2017

PROMET

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“…As Song (2013) indicated, the integration of the port and the city has become a major trend when constructing port cities in China [67]. Our intention here is to simply examine the relationship of port development and urban sprawl, while other studies have explored the development model of port and city combinations [68][69][70], and the methods relating the port cargo throughput with city GDP [71][72][73][74] in detail. The relationship implies the relatively close connection (R 2 is about 0.7) between the port development (represented by cargo throughput) and urban sprawl in the coastal zone.…”

Section: Relationship Between Port and Urban Sprawlmentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Urban Sprawl in Chinese Port Cities from 1979 to 2013

Zhang

Seen³

et al. 2016

Sustainability

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China has been through a period of remarkable urban sprawl since the reform and opening-up policy in 1978, with the highest urbanization occurring in the coastal zones. Sustainable urban development requires a better understanding of the spatiotemporal characteristics of urbanization. This study systematically explored urban sprawl in Chinese coastal cities with a visual interpretation method from 1979 to 2013. The results show that urban built-up areas kept increasing at a faster pace during the study period (i.e., increased about 9-fold in 34 years), especially in the first decade of the 21st century. Spatially, urban sprawl intensity generally peaked in the urban fringe. Urban built-up areas expanded mostly at a cost to cultivated land and non-urban built-up land, and became more irregular and less compact through the study period. Land-use policies, economic development levels, port developments and locations are all closely related with urban sprawl in these port cities. The results also suggest that improving the utilization efficiency of urban land and coordinating the development of city and port are necessary and important for sustainable development in coastal cities.

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“…Starting in 1991, the HKSAR Legislative Council began discussing MSO. However, the council underestimated the potential of MSO (HKSAR Legco, 1991) and further undermined MSO in the years thereafter (HKSAR Legco, 2013 (Seabrooke et al, 2003). Construction of the first three terminals began in 1970.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Between 1986 and 1996, Hong Kong's throughput reached double-digit growth, and Hong Kong firmly established itself as a global logistics hub (Wang, 1998;Wang and Slack, 2000;Yeung et al, 2004;Fu et al, 2010). The total container throughput of Hong Kong grew from 9.2 million TEUs in 1993 to more than 19.1 million TEUs in 2002 (Yeung et al, 2004).In the 1990s, Hong Kong maintained its position as the world's busiest port measured by container throughput (Wang and Slack, 2000;Loo and Hook, 2002;Seabrooke et al, 2003).To enlarge container terminal capacity, Terminal 9 was opened in 2004 on the southeastern shoreline of Tsing Yi Island. The enlargement of what was now known as the Kwai Tsing Container Terminals (formerly the Kwai Chung Container Terminals) helped Hong Kong to keep its role as one of the leading ports for southern China in the twenty-first century (Marine Department, 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An evaluation of mid-stream operation in Hong Kong

Lau

2017

MABR

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Purpose Mid-stream operation has had a significant role in Hong Kong’s economic development since the 1960s. Prior to the building of container terminals in Hong Kong, cargo was mainly loaded onto and discharged from ocean-going vessels by mid-stream operations and then shipped to Europe and North America. This paper aims to reinforce mid-stream operation is considered a “must” in supporting the substantial growth of maritime industry and strengthening Hong Kong’s role as an entrepôt. Design/methodology/approach The authors undertake a historical review of the evolution of Hong Kong’s mid-stream operation over the past half-century and investigate the future of mid-stream operation in light of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government’s policy of allocating Public Cargo Working Areas through an open auction process. Semi-structured, in-depth interviews are also undertaken in this study. Findings The emergence of container terminals generated competition for cargo between container terminals and mid-stream operators. In addition, the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region government’s policy of allocating Public Cargo Working Areas to mid-stream operators through an open auction process intensified negative influences on the survival of the mid-stream operation sector. Originality/value To date, mid-stream operation has been abandoned nearly everywhere except in Hong Kong. Yet, Hong Kong’s container system has become the most advanced in the world. The authors explain how and why mid-stream operation still plays such a key role in Hong Kong and how to enhance its sustainability. The authors also discuss the academic and managerial implications of their findings.

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Forecasting cargo growth and regional role of the port of Hong Kong

Cited by 81 publications

References 1 publication

Container Throughput Forecasting Using Dynamic Factor Analysis and ARIMAX Model

Container Throughput Forecasting Using Dynamic Factor Analysis and ARIMAX Model

Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Urban Sprawl in Chinese Port Cities from 1979 to 2013

An evaluation of mid-stream operation in Hong Kong

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