Forecasting of epizootic of rabies in the Chernihiv oblast on the basis of geoinformation analysis

Golik, M. O.; Polupan, I. М.; Nedosekov, V.; Expertise, Sanitary

doi:10.31548/dopovidi2018.06.025

Cited by 4 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…These methods are widely used in EU countries (Tadesse & Reda, 2021). In Ukraine, the first attempts were made by Golik et al (2018) on local territories. Makovska et al (2020) made a significant contribution by conducting GIS analysis of rabies distribution in all Ukrainian regions for 2012-2018 and creating a database.…”

Section: Figure 6 Spatial Distribution Of Rabies Cases In Wild Animal...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…According to some authors, a national rabies database will become an effective information resource in the future (Makovska et al, 2020). Determining spatial trends and identifying rabies clusters can be useful in making decisions about the effective allocation of efforts for disease control, facilitating the development and planning of anti-epizootic measures for rabies (Golik et al, 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Issues with conducting parenteral antirabic vaccination of domestic animals include the lack of a proper identification system for animals, the absence of developed "Rules for keeping dogs, cats, and predatory animals in populated areas of Ukraine," and a program for humane control of stray animal population and vaccination. Therefore, despite significant efforts in combating rabies among dogs and cats, these animal species continue to be prominently featured in veterinary reports on infectious diseases and contribute to the tense epizootic situation of rabies in Ukraine (Golik et al, 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Spread of rabies in the Kyiv Oblast during 2020-2022

Rudoi,

Drozhzhe,

Chechet

et al. 2023

Scientific Horizons

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In Ukraine, there is a prominent level of rabies circulation among domestic and wild carnivores. Consequently, the epizootic situation of rabies in Ukraine requires studying the spread of this infection using modern surveillance tools, which allow for territorial assessment and identification of risk zones during analysis. The purpose of this research was to describe the spatial characteristics of the rabies epizootic in the Kyiv Oblast during 2020-2022, focusing on both wild and domestic animals. Official reporting data were analysed to examine the total number of samples of pathological material (brain tissue) collected from various animal species with suspected rabies. Positive samples were georeferenced and visualized using software to form clusters of rabies cases based on years and types of animals, creating point layers and density mapping of cases. The analysis revealed that in the Kyiv Oblast, 1788 samples of pathological brain material from animals with suspected rabies were examined, of which 237 were positive. The largest number of samples belonged to wild animals (primarily foxes), acting as a reservoir of the infection. The proportion of wild animals accounted for 64.4% of the total examined, but the number of positive samples varied between 1.7% and 5.5%. Compared to domestic animals (cats and dogs), this figure reached up to 30.0% of the total number of samples examined. Other animal species accounted for 3.2% of positive cases among the total examined. Thus, the highest morbidity rate was observed in domestic animals, representing 72.1% of the total identified positive cases. The highest density of rabies cases in the Kyiv Oblast was observed in the southwest and centre. Persistent clusters of rabies cases were in the Bila Tserkva district and the western outskirts of Kyiv. In the western part of Kyiv, the cluster was formed by cases in wild animals, cats, and dogs. In the Bila Tserkva district, the cluster was formed by cases in wild animals, cats, dogs, and cattle. The highest density of rabies cases in wild animals was registered on the western outskirts of Kyiv

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Section: Figure 6 Spatial Distribution Of Rabies Cases In Wild Animal...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Spread of rabies in the Kyiv Oblast during 2020-2022

Rudoi,

Drozhzhe,

Chechet

et al. 2023

Scientific Horizons

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“…In addition, Ukraine is the only country in Europe where rabies is spread even more through domestic carnivores than through foxes (Tkachenko et al, 2014;Yarchuk et al, 2015;Golik et al, 2018). This epizootic situation is provoked on the one hand by a large number of homeless and stray dogs and cats, which move freely in all regions, transporting the causative agent of rabies and exacerbating the epizootic and epidemic situation and causing economic damage (Gulyukin et al, 2016;Kurtyak, 2017).…”

Section: Analysis Of Recent Researches and Publicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling the spread of rabies in ukraine

Makovska¹

2020

Ukrainian journal of veterinary sciences

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Due to the concern for animal and human health, efforts to develop mathema cal and computa onal models for predic ng the spa al and temporal dynamics of infec ous diseases, including rabies, are constantly increasing. Therefore, our goal was to model the dynamics of the spread of rabies by foxes, dogs, and cats on the territory of Vinnytsia Oblast in the period from 2012 to 2018. To study and analyse the dynamic spread of rabies in me and space, an informa on-analy cal technology was developed, which is based on retrospec ve data from registered cases of rabies. The rabies transmission parameter was determined using official epizootological data from the regional oblast veterinary laboratory and the regional department of the State Service of Ukraine On Food Safety and Consumer Protec on. It was found that rabies spread the most among dogs and cats at a distance of up to 50 km in the winter (26.45%), from 50 to 100 km -in the autumn (40.33%), over 100 km -in the summer (49.84%). In general, domes c carnivores were sources of rabies within a radius of 50 km in only 16.98% of cases, and within a radius of 100 km -in 55.95% of cases. Foxes were sources of rabies within a radius of 50 km in only 24.33% of cases and within a radius of 100 km in 58.54% of cases. At the same me, the highest spread of rabies among the foxes at a distance of up to 50 km was observed in the spring (31.01%), from 50 to 100 km -in the winter (43.67%), and over 100 km -in the summer (48.38%). The new data will be useful in planning and carrying out preven ve anrabies measures. In the future, it is planned to conduct the modelling in terms of all regions and create forecasts for the spread of rabies on the territory of Ukraine.

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“…In the Poltava region, cases of rabies were observed more frequently in February 2021 among cats, dogs, foxes, and raccoon dogs (36). In the Chernihiv region, the percentages of cases recorded in 2016 and 2017 were, respectively, 42.3% and 44.4% in cats, 22.5% and 19.4% in dogs, and 21.6% and 16.7% in foxes (8). Out of the 9 regions in northern and western Ukraine, Khmelnytsky and Zhytomyr regions have the most severe epizootic situation with regards to animal rabies.…”

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confidence: 98%

Rabies virus spread in central and north-eastern regions of Ukraine

Omelchenko¹,

Avramenko²,

Kulynych³

et al. 2022

Medycyna Weterynaryjna

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Annually, 30,000-45,000 cases of rabies in animals and humans are reported worldwide. The aim of the study was to present data on the incidence of rabies among humans and animals in central and north-eastern regions of Ukraine (Poltava and Sumy) between the years 2007 and 2020. The statistical data were obtained from the anti-epizootic measures division at the Department of Food Safety and Veterinary Medicine of the State Food and Consumer Service in the Poltava and Sumy regions of Ukraine. Between 2012 and 2020, the largest number of bite cases in the Poltava region were recorded in 2012 (4,234 cases), and the lowest in 2018 (1,951 cases). The vast majority of bites were caused by dogs and cats that had an owner. During the successive years, the number of rabies cases increased. Between 2017 and 2019, over 50% of rabies cases in the Sumy region occurred in domestic animals. Although combating rabies among dogs through vaccination, as well as extermination of homeless animals, may reduce the incidence of rabies in humans, rabies in dogs is still not uncommon in the Poltava and Sumy regions of Ukraine. Moreover, rabid dogs in these two regions still account for over 90% of rabies cases and 99% of deaths due to rabies among humans. The red fox was the leader in the incidence of rabies among wild animals between 2009 and 2019. In the Poltava region, the highest number of rabies cases occurred in 2017 (10 cases), whereas in the Sumy region the peak if infections was observed in 2010 (42 cases). Rabies in animals tended to decrease due to the oral immunization of free-ranging animals. It is difficult, however, to assess the overall global situation of rabies using data solely on human mortality. Rabies is not a purely human disease. It is rather a disease that occurs in wild and domestic animals, from which it may be transferred to humans. Therefore, a more accurate prediction of its impact should include an assessment of its prevalence in animal populations, especially pets, and the costs associated with preventing the spread of rabies from animals to humans. Effective measures for prevention and eradication of rabies, as well as better knowledge, are crucial to check further spread of the disease. Obligatory preventive measures should include vaccination of pets and oral immunization of red foxes.

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Forecasting of epizootic of rabies in the Chernihiv oblast on the basis of geoinformation analysis

Cited by 4 publications

References 2 publications

Spread of rabies in the Kyiv Oblast during 2020-2022

Spread of rabies in the Kyiv Oblast during 2020-2022

Modelling the spread of rabies in ukraine

Rabies virus spread in central and north-eastern regions of Ukraine

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