2019
DOI: 10.20858/tp.2019.14.2.10
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Forecasting of the Route Network of Ferry and Cruise Lines Based on Simulation and Intelligent Transport Systems

Abstract: According to statistics, the marine passenger transportation sectors (both cruise lines and ferry lines) show a significant increase of passenger traffic and the intensity of ship routes. But new features of the conditions for passenger traffic growth require the development of new methodological transport models for cruise and ferry networks and new practical forecasting methods. Changes are observed in the fleet composition, mostly in the direction of increased. New approach for forecasting has to be based o… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(3 citation statements)
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References 8 publications
(11 reference statements)
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“…On the basis of the analysis of intensities of the sea ferry companies, the specialized circular diagrams of intensities Circos [7,8,9] were constructed. The areas of the Baltic sea in which there will be an increase of intensity of the sea ferries (figure 4) were predicted [10,11,12,13]. systems which are implemented according to the ISO 14001-2004 linear models [14] does not allow for a qualitative multilinear analysis.…”
Section: Environmental Impact Assessment Methods and Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…On the basis of the analysis of intensities of the sea ferry companies, the specialized circular diagrams of intensities Circos [7,8,9] were constructed. The areas of the Baltic sea in which there will be an increase of intensity of the sea ferries (figure 4) were predicted [10,11,12,13]. systems which are implemented according to the ISO 14001-2004 linear models [14] does not allow for a qualitative multilinear analysis.…”
Section: Environmental Impact Assessment Methods and Modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The following models of ports and terminals development are well known: Anyport, Model UNCTAD and Model Workport. Special attention should be paid to the authors Norcliffe G., Bassett K. and Hoare T. [15] , who proposed the study of ports and terminals development, taking into account the peculiarities of the geographical location of the port and considering the mutual influence of the port and the city. Let us apply elements of this model to sea passenger ports and terminals.…”
Section: Models and Methods Of Forecasting The Development Of "City-seaport Passenger Port" Systemsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Ferries are required to follow strict regulations and detailed procedures related to route management and port accessibility (e.g. Ercoli et al, 2015;Maiorov et al, 2019), maritime and port city pollution (e.g. Dragovi c et al, 2018;Tovar and Tichavska, 2019), the health and safety of passengers on board (e.g.…”
Section: Tqm In the Shipping Sectormentioning
confidence: 99%