An improved understanding of changes in flood hazard and the underlying driving mechanisms is critical for predicting future changes for better adaptation strategies. While recent increases in flooding across the world have been partly attributed to a range of atmospheric or landscape drivers, one oftenforgotten driver of changes in flood properties is the variability of river conveyance capacity. This paper proposes a new framework for connecting flood changes to longitudinal variability in river conveyance, precipitation climatology, flows and sediment connectivity. We present a first step, based on a regional analysis, towards a longer-term research effort that is required to decipher the circular causality between floods and rivers. The results show how this system of interacting units in the atmospheric, hydrologic and geomorphological realm function as a nonlinear filter that fundamentally alters the frequency of flood events. To revise and refine our estimation of future flood risk, this work highlights that multidriver attribution studies are needed, that include boundary conditions such as underlying climate, water and sediment connectivity, and explicit estimations of river conveyance properties. Flooding poses an ever-present economic, societal 1,2 and environmental 3 risk that is likely to increase in the future 4-8. An improved understanding of historical changes in flood hazard and the underlying driving mechanisms is, therefore, critical for predicting future changes for better adaptation strategies. Flood estimation and flood management have traditionally been based on flood frequency analysis, following traditional stationary or non-stationary flood distributions accounting for shifts in flood extremes, climate and scale 9-14. Recent accelerations in population growth, together with changes in the economy and land use patterns have also underlined how humans contribute to the complexity of the flood-river system 15 , as they are inextricably linked to water resources, and are active agents in altering atmosphere, hydrology and geomorphology 16-21. Nonetheless, while individual attribution studies linking either atmospheric or landscape drivers to floods are valuable, many times they fail to consider that massive channels widening or narrowing have been recorded 22,23. These changes in river conveyance are driven by the interactions between hydrology, geomorphology, atmospheric drivers, and human activities, and by the interdependencies of processes at different spatiotemporal scales 24-37. Changes in channel geometry at short and intermediate time scales (1 to 100 years) have clear relevance for flood hazard prediction 38. Fluvial systems function in feedback loops, where processes and their alteration influence one another (Fig. 1), and the cycle may either amplify or reset, continuing over time. Changes in river conveyance capacity do not impact the amount of water that flows through the river system during a flood, but they have a bearing on the probability of a flood event overtopping the ban...