The eight-residue surface loop, 45-52 (Ser, Ala, Val, Gly, Asn, Ala, Glu, Ser), of the homotetrameric protein streptavidin has a "closed" conformation in the streptavidin-biotin complex, where the corresponding binding affinity is one of the strongest found in nature ( G ∼ -18 kcal/mol). However, in most of the crystal structures of apo (unbound) streptavidin, the loop conformation is "open" and typically exhibits partial disorder and high B-factors. Thus, it is plausible to assume that the loop structure is changed from open to closed upon binding of biotin, and the corresponding difference in free energy, F = F open -F closed in the unbound protein, should therefore be considered in the total absolute free energy of binding. F (which has generally been neglected) is calculated here using our "hypothetical scanning molecular-dynamics" (HSMD) method. We use a protein model in which only the atoms closest to the loop are considered (the "template") and they are fixed in the x-ray coordinates of the free protein; the x-ray conformation of the closed loop is attached to the same (unbound) template and both systems are capped with the same sphere of TIP3P water. Using the force field of the assisted model building with energy refinement (AMBER), we carry out two separate MD simulations (at temperature T = 300 K), starting from the open and closed conformations, where only the atoms of the loop and water are allowed to move (the template-water and template-loop interactions are considered). The absolute F open and F closed (of loop + water) are calculated from these trajectories, where the loop and water contributions are obtained by HSMD and a thermodynamic integration (TI) process, respectively. The combined HSMD-TI procedure leads to total (loop + water) F = −27.1 ± 2.0 kcal/mol, where the entropy T S constitutes 34% of F, meaning that the effect of S is significant and should not be ignored. Also, S is positive, in accord with the high flexibility of the open loop observed in crystal structures, while the energy E is unexpectedly negative, thus also adding to the stability of the open loop. The loop and the 250 capped water molecules are the largest system studied thus far, which constitutes a test for the efficiency of HSMD-TI; this efficiency and technical issues related to the implementation of the method are also discussed. Finally, the result for F is a prediction that will be considered in the calculation of the absolute free energy of binding of biotin to streptavidin, which constitutes our next project.