From election day to presidential approval: Partisanship and the honeymoon period in Mexico

Cornejo, Rodrigo Castro; Beltrán, Ulises; Ley, Sandra; Galicia, René

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2022.102438

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 46 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…The post-election “honeymoon period” of a president can quickly come to an end due to poor economic performance, even among those who voted for that president in the past (Navia and Perelló, 2019). At the same time, out-partisans can conceivably increase their favorability rating of a newly elected president over evaluations made on election day (Castro Cornejo et al, 2022). Thus, we argue that presidential approval represents a more flexible and accurate measure of a president’s present support, since negative assessments of economic conditions may drive individuals to “punish” an incumbent by withdrawing their support; on the contrary, should they form positive assessments, they can offer their support to the incumbent government (Gélineau, 2007) regardless of whether they voted for the incumbent president in the past.…”

Section: Tolerant Attitudes Group Membership and Presidential Approva...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Presidential Approval, Tolerant Attitudes, and Economic Performance: The Case of Latin America

Sendra

Bohigues

2022

Political Studies Review

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Due to the historical centrality of presidents in Latin America, we argue that presidential approval can be a source of group membership among citizens, creating a division between “ingroups” and “outgroups.” We test the effects of such division on tolerant attitudes toward the rights of system critics to participate in political life in four ways (from the least to the most threatening for the ingroup): voting, giving speeches on television, running for office, and demonstrating peacefully. We further argue that this effect is conditioned by the economic context, and that the ingroup/outgroup divide is activated when an economy performs poorly. Analysis of the AmericasBarometer 2018/2019 survey is consistent with our expectations. Specifically, our results suggest that the main predictor for tolerant attitudes is presidential approval, and that the individual-level effect dissipates in a context of good performance of the economy, which causes the presidential ingroup to not feel threatened by any outgroup.

show abstract

Section: Tolerant Attitudes Group Membership and Presidential Approva...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Presidential Approval, Tolerant Attitudes, and Economic Performance: The Case of Latin America

Sendra

Bohigues

2022

Political Studies Review

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

Same scandal, different interpretations: politics of corruption, anger, and partisan bias in Mexico

Cornejo

2022

Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Executive Approval Dynamics in Presidential and Parliamentary Democratic Regimes

Martínez-Gallardo,

Love,

Hartlyn

et al. 2024

Comparative Political Studies

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Does the type of democratic regime matter for public evaluations of leaders? We argue two characteristics intrinsic to presidential and parliamentary regimes lead to divergent patterns of executive approval. For presidents, direct elections foster more personal leader-voter linkages; for prime ministers, dependence on the legislature for survival contributes to more institutionalized party systems. These two mechanisms should generate higher approval at the outset of a term—larger honeymoons— for presidents than for prime ministers, but also more rapid decline. Analyses of data from 40 countries produce evidence consistent with these constitutionally-based distinctions. Yet we uncover important within-regime differences. Within presidential systems, approval patterns vary along with paths to power—first-election versus re-election, and elected versus unelected. Within parliamentarism, honeymoons are greater for prime ministers overseeing single-party majoritarian governments. Study findings advance long-standing debates about the relative merits of presidential and parliamentary systems—particularly the tradeoff between democratic responsiveness and stability.

show abstract

From election day to presidential approval: Partisanship and the honeymoon period in Mexico

Cited by 3 publications

References 46 publications

Presidential Approval, Tolerant Attitudes, and Economic Performance: The Case of Latin America

Presidential Approval, Tolerant Attitudes, and Economic Performance: The Case of Latin America

Same scandal, different interpretations: politics of corruption, anger, and partisan bias in Mexico

Executive Approval Dynamics in Presidential and Parliamentary Democratic Regimes

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About