From the Farmer to Global Food Production: Use of Crop Models for Climate Change Impact Assessment

Iglesias, Ana; Schlickenrieder, Jeremy; Pereira, David; Diz, Agustin

doi:10.4337/9780857939869.00010

Cited by 3 publications

(6 citation statements)

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“…Broad categorisation divides these assessments into agriculturally oriented studies that focus on the responses of crops to climatic variations and economically oriented studies that consider the economic responses to changes in crop yield (Bosello and Zhang, 2005;Iglesias et al, 2011). Within agriculturally oriented studies, three main approaches have been distinguished, biophysical process-based models (Jones et al, 2011;Challinor et al, 2004;van Ittersum and Donatelli, 2003), agro-ecosystem models (Fischer et al, 2002), and the statistical analysis of historical data (Lobell and Burke, 2010b).…”

Section: Economic Assessment Methods Overview and Focus Of The Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Global and European Agriculture. Review of Economic Structural Approaches

Fernandez

Blanco

2015

Economics

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The economic effects of climate change on agriculture have been widely assessed in the last two decades. Many of these assessments are based on the integration of biophysical and agroeconomic models, allowing to understand the physical and socio-economic responses of the agricultural sector to future climate change scenarios. The evolution of the bio-economic approach has gone through different stages. This review analyses its evolution: firstly, framing the bio-economic approach into the context of the assessments of climate change impacts, and secondly, by reviewing empirical studies at the global and European level. Based on this review, common findings emerge in both global and regional assessments. Among them, the authors show that overall results tend to hide significant disparities on smaller spatial scales. Furthermore, due to the effects of crop prices over yield changes, several authors highlight the need to consider endogenous price models to assess production impacts of climate change. Further, major developments are discussed: the progress made since the last two decades and the recent methods used to provide insights into modeling uncertainties. However, there are still challenges to be met. On this matter, the authors take these unresolved challenges as guidelines for future research. JEL C63 Q10 Q11 Q17 Q54

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Section: Economic Assessment Methods Overview and Focus Of The Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Global and European Agriculture. Review of Economic Structural Approaches

Fernandez

Blanco

2015

Economics

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“…These strategies may entail high costs and long-term commitment, and may require cooperation with other farmers or assistance from government agencies. The third stage involves determining stakeholders' opinions through questionnaires and acquiring information regarding agriculture to understand the local effects of climate change and strategies for adaptation [55].…”

Section: Three-stage Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Modified Three-stage Approach Used In This Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Iglesias et al [49], Iglesias [55], Iglesias et al [56], and Darwin et al [57] revealed that risks due to climate change and opportunities for adaptation often differ considerably by agroclimatic zone and society. Iglesias et al [55] indicated that some of the climate risks described in the literature have long-term effects on areas, rather than immediately observable ones. Thus, climate risks and adaptation strategies exhibit both temporal and spatial differentiation, and appropriate adaptation measures for each region must be identified; this was accomplished in this study through field observation and document analysis conducted in Stages 1 and 2.…”

Section: Modified Three-stage Approach Used In This Studymentioning

confidence: 99%

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Agriculture Risks and Opportunities in a Climate-Vulnerable Watershed in Northeastern Taiwan—The Opinions of Leisure Agriculture Operators

Chen,

Jan,

Chung

et al. 2023

Sustainability

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This study investigated the agriculture risks and opportunities in a fragile watershed, the Lanyang River Watershed (LRW) in Northeastern Taiwan, under the current situation of climate change. Agriculture in the LRW is a traditional sector, highly vulnerable to climate change, and is a declining economic sector due to the trend of trade liberalization of agriculture. At present, the government of Taiwan encourages local farmers to transform towards recreational farm types. Leisure agriculture operators have successfully transitioned their tilling to a business model of recreational farming. A telephone survey of leisure agriculture operators was applied with a three-stage approach to obtain their opinions. The results showed that climate change may entail risks for agriculture in watersheds. Transformation to leisure agriculture can enhance farm adaptation and increase farm income. The long-term implementation of slope- and geology-based land classification and land use planning can protect the watershed, especially from extreme weather, while enhancing water and soil conservation efforts, and bolstering climate resilience. Innovative agricultural practices offer viable solutions, including greenhouse farming for high-economic-value crops, leisure agriculture, organic farming, and ecotourism. These strategies can rejuvenate the LRW’s agriculture industry, foster ecological tourism, and provide opportunities for traditional farmers to thrive in this highly climate-fragile area. The implications of this case study are that appropriate responses can improve local climate resilience, and that correspondingly well-designed adaptation measures can transform threats and risks into new opportunities.

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“…In particular, Lewandrowski and Schimmelpfennig (1999) integrate the knowledge from both programming and econometric studies of the agricultural sector. Other reviews have focused on the technical details of the different modeling approaches without discussing the results of the various studies (Iglesias et al, 2011).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptation in California Agriculture: What Have We Been Assessing for Two and a Half Decades?

et al. 2016

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Following the release of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and realizing the likely impact on California water and agricultural sectors, we review key concepts in the climate change lexicon in the context of California agriculture. There are a range of modeling approaches used to study the benefits of water basin- and/or farm-level adaptations, including hydrological, crop simulation, economic programming, and econometric models. Given the central role of farmer and institutional responsiveness, how do recent agro-economic assessments suggest that specific adaptations may improve economic welfare and reduce vulnerability? What is economically efficient adaptation in the short and long-run? What are the limits to the agricultural sector’s adaptive capacity?

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From the Farmer to Global Food Production: Use of Crop Models for Climate Change Impact Assessment

Cited by 3 publications

References 0 publications

Modelling the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Global and European Agriculture. Review of Economic Structural Approaches

Modelling the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Global and European Agriculture. Review of Economic Structural Approaches

Agriculture Risks and Opportunities in a Climate-Vulnerable Watershed in Northeastern Taiwan—The Opinions of Leisure Agriculture Operators

Adaptation in California Agriculture: What Have We Been Assessing for Two and a Half Decades?

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