Future of solar energy potential in a changing climate across the world: A CMIP6 multi-model ensemble analysis

Dutta, Riya; Chanda, Kironmala; Maity, Rajib

doi:10.1016/j.renene.2022.02.023

Cited by 99 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…The higher emission scenario likely increases the wind power density in the 2040s over most of the globe compared to the moderate emission scenario, though a large spread of future projections is noticeable. Like wind power resources, solar power potential for the concentrated Solar Power (CSP) plants or solar photovoltaic (PV) power also strongly depends on the solar radiation projection presented in Figure 6 (Dutta et al., 2022). Spatially varying magnitude and sign of anomalies indicate region‐specific changes in solar power potential in the 2040s.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?

et al. 2023

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?

et al. 2023

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“…This suggests that polycrystalline (p-Si) solar photovoltaic modules suitable for harnessing solar radiation with high-performance capabilities and module resistance to extreme temperatures could be found in the region. According to several literary works, arid, semi-arid and desert locations should use p-Si to harness solar energy fluxes, while humid regions should use m-Si [37,41,42]. However, in this era of climate change, the opening up of the atmosphere caused by high clarity index, direct normal irradiance, and low diffuse light, as well as shared socioeconomic pathways caused by low anthropological activity, may not result in increased solar radiation global and ambient temperature.…”

Section: Effects Of Angstrom-prescott Coefficients On Climate Forcing...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This is because, compared to other solar PV modules, the solar technology has higher module intrinsic characteristics to withstand the extreme temperatures of the region. According to Dutta et al [41], solar PV generation will decline in Africa, including North Africa, West Africa, Cameroon, the Republic of the Congo, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Photovoltaic and concentrated solar power generation in Africa, North Africa, and West Africa is likely to decline, according to Crook et al [42].…”

Section: Effects Of Hargreaves-samani (Hs) Coefficient On Climate For...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of Angstrom-Prescott and Hargreaves-Samani Coefficients on Climate Forcing and Solar PV Technology Selection in West Africa

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Udo

Ewona³

et al. 2023

Tr Ren Energy

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We evaluated and compared the performance of simulated Angström-Prescott (AP) and Hargreaves-Samani (HS) models on monthly and annual timescales using generalized datasets covering the entire West African region. The fitted AP model yielded more efficient parameters of a = 0.366 and b = 0.459, whereas the HS model produced a 0.216 coefficient based on an annual timescale, which is more suitable in the region compared to coefficients recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (a = 0.25 and b = 0.5) and HS (0.17), respectively. Employing the FAO and HS recommended coefficients will introduce a relative percentage error (RPE) of 18.388% and 27.19% compared to the RPEs of 0.0014% and 0.1036% obtained in this study, respectively. When considering time and resource availability in the absence of ground-measured datasets, the coefficients obtained in this study can be used for predicting global solar radiation within the region. According to the AP and HS coefficients, the polycrystalline module (p-Si) is more reliable than the monocrystalline module (m-Si) because the p-Si module has a higher tendency to withstand the high temperatures projected to affect the region due to its higher intrinsic properties based on the AP and HS coefficients assessment in the region.

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“…The major contribution of environmental issues, such as climate change, air pollution and acid rain because of the consumption of fossil-based fuels, proves the dominance of renewable energy production sources in this regard. Currently, solar energy is thought of as the most promising and significant renewable energy source because it is clean, free and safe [1,2]. The efficiency of the PV panel is about 7-20% of solar energy conversion, nevertheless, the remaining 80% of solar radiation is waste heat and not electricity production [3,4] which results in an increase in the PV surface temperature and lifetime degradation of the PV cells.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Photovoltaic/Thermal Module Integrated with Nano-Enhanced Phase Change Material: A Numerical Analysis

et al. 2022

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Solar photovoltaic-thermal (PV/T) technology is the main strategy for harvesting solar energy due to its non-polluting, stability, good visibility and security features. The aim of the project is to develop a mathematical model of a PV/T module integrated with optical filtration and MXene-enhanced PCM. In this system, a single MXene-enhanced PCM layer is attached between the PV panel and absorber pipe with solid MXene-PCM for storage and cooling purposes. Additionally, the thermal fluid is utilized in the copper absorber pipe and connected to the heat pump system for enhancing system thermal and electrical efficiency. Furthermore, the influences of the optical filtration channel height, concentration of the nanoparticles on PV surface temperature and overall system efficiency are also discussed. This study demonstrates that the annual thermal and electrical energy output can reach 5370 kWh per annum with 74.92% of thermal efficiency and 5620 kWh with 14.65% of electrical efficiency, respectively, compared to the traditional PV/T module. Meanwhile, when the optical filtration channel height and volume concentration are enhanced, they exert a negative influence on the PV surface temperature, but the overall thermal efficiency is enhanced due to low thermal resistance to heat losses and low radiation-shielding layers.

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Future of solar energy potential in a changing climate across the world: A CMIP6 multi-model ensemble analysis

Cited by 99 publications

References 36 publications

What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?

What Does Global Land Climate Look Like at 2°C Warming?

Effects of Angstrom-Prescott and Hargreaves-Samani Coefficients on Climate Forcing and Solar PV Technology Selection in West Africa

Photovoltaic/Thermal Module Integrated with Nano-Enhanced Phase Change Material: A Numerical Analysis

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