Generating intelligence on the research and development progress of emerging technologies using patent and publication information

Gerdsri, Nathasit; Daim, Tuğrul U.

doi:10.1109/icmit.2008.4654327

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 32 publications

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“…The most common way of conducting bibliometric research is to use the Social Science Citation Index, the Science Citation Index to trace citations [3]. The bibliometric analysis approach covers three distinct notions: activity measurement, linkage measurement, and impact measurement [12].…”

Section: Qualitative or Judgmental Forecasting Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Technology Forecasting Methods with Emphasis on Bibliographic Analysis and Curve Fitting: A Photocatalytic Case Example

Jaranyagorn

Ngavej

2012

AMR

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Technology forecasting methods can be applied to make sure we know the potential direction, characteristic, state and effect of technology change. A good forecast can maximize gain and minimize loss from future conditions Nowadays, many companies invest a great deal in R&D to develop competitive new products and technology. Globalization and the rate of technological change in highly competitive market mean that companies need to consider increasing the R&D budgets and ensuring the money is spent efficiently and effectively. Technology forecasting is very useful for decision making in managerial issues. It can help government manage their public agendas and budgetary constraints and for business strategic direction and prioritizing R&D projects. This paper explores the technology forecasting methods and demonstrates the use of bibliographic analysis and curve fitting with Bass diffusion and exponential models for trend forecasting of titanium dioxide photocatalyst as a case example.

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Section: Qualitative or Judgmental Forecasting Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%