Population genetic signatures of local adaptation are frequently investigated by identifying loci with allele frequencies that exhibit high correlation with ecological variables. One difficulty with this approach is that ecological associations might be confounded by geographic variation at selectively neutral loci. Here, we consider populations that underwent spatial expansion from their original range, and for which geographical variation of adaptive allele frequency coincides with habitat gradients. Using range expansion simulations, we asked whether our ability to detect genomic regions involved in adaptation could be impacted by the orientation of the ecological gradients. For three ecological association methods tested, we found, counterintuitively, fewer false-positive associations when ecological gradients aligned along the main axis of expansion than when they aligned along any other direction. This result has important consequences for the analysis of genomic data under nonequilibrium population genetic models. Alignment of gradients with expansion axes is likely to be common in scenarios in which expanding species track their ecological niche during climate change while adapting to changing environments at their rear edge. Heredity (2015) 115, 22-28; doi:10.1038/hdy.2015; published online 18 February 2015
DETECTING ADAPTIVE GENETIC RESPONSES USING ECOLOGICAL GRADIENTSThe fossil record is replete with examples of species modifying their geographical distributions following environmental change (Comes and Kadereit, 1998;Blois and Hadly, 2009). On the basis of evidence from the past, range shifts are commonly viewed as an expected response of species to climate change (Parmesan and Yohe, 2003). In addition to range modifications, changing conditions and natural selection can also trigger genetic modifications allowing species to adapt to new local environments encountered during migration (Davis and Shaw, 2001;Davis et al., 2005;Jump and Penuelas, 2005). Under these conditions, researchers have suggested that gene frequencies may change gradually as natural selection acts on standing genetic variation or new mutations to favor adaptive phenotypes (Hermisson and Pennings, 2005;Hancock et al., 2010;Pritchard et al., 2010). In addition, natural selection may cause shifts in allele frequency at multiple genetic loci simultaneously, leaving subtle signatures of adaptive genetic change (Vitti et al., 2013).Detecting gradual parallel genetic change is a difficult challenge , and range expansion scenarios may complicate the identification of adaptive alleles among selectively neutral polymorphisms. Range expansions can generate extreme genetic drift in the direction of colonization, driving allele frequencies close to fixation in a pattern that mimics the signature of selective sweeps (Edmonds et al., 2004). These results imply that traditional outlier methods based on allele frequency differentiation may be inappropriate to detect genetic signatures of local adaptation in species that underwent range expansion ...