“…1 Mandates may, however, engender unwanted phenomenon such as the green paradox 2 (Sinn, 2008(Sinn, , 2012 or fail to stimulate the supply of clean alternatives during the premandate phase. While a substantial number of articles (see e.g., van der Meijden et al, 2015;Winter, 2014;Michielsen, 2014;van der Ploeg and Withagen, 2012b,a;Smulders et al, 2012;Grafton et al, 2012;Gerlagh, 2011;Eichner and Pethig, 2011;Sinclair, 1992) assess, from a theory perspective, how subsidies directed towards substitute technologies or carbon taxes influence the extraction of a polluting exhaustible resource, only a few articles (e.g., Greaker et al, 2014;Fischer and Salant, 2014;Chakravorty and Hubert, 2013;De Gorter and Just, 2009;Allaire and Brown, 2015) examine mandating targets as a policy tool in the context of the green paradox. The contribution of this paper is to investigate the plausibility of the green paradox in a model where biofuel producers, like fossil producers, can anticipate future mandating policy, and thus, may adjust present day capacity in response to preannounced mandating targets.…”