BackgroundAs of December 30, 2021, Ontario long-term care (LTC) residents who received a third dose of COVID-19 vaccine ≥84 days previously were offered a fourth dose to prevent a surge in COVID-19-related morbidity and mortality due to the Omicron variant.MethodsWe used a test-negative design and linked databases to estimate the marginal effectiveness (4 versus 3 doses) and vaccine effectiveness (VE; 2, 3, or 4 doses versus no doses) of mRNA vaccines among Ontario LTC residents aged ≥60 years who were tested for SARS-CoV-2 between December 30, 2021 and March 2, 2022. Outcome measures included any Omicron infection, symptomatic infection, and severe outcomes (hospitalization or death).ResultsWe included 9,957 Omicron cases and 46,849 test-negative controls. The marginal effectiveness of a fourth dose ≥7 days after vaccination versus a third dose received ≥84 days prior was 40% (95% Confidence Interval[CI], 34-45%) against infection, 63% (95%CI, 51-71%) against symptomatic infection, and 54% (95%CI, 31-70%) against severe outcomes. VE (compared to an unvaccinated group) increased with each additional dose, and for a fourth dose was 65% (95%CI, 60-70%), 87% (95%CI, 81-91%), and 92% (95%CI, 87-95%), against infection, symptomatic infection, and severe outcomes, respectively.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that compared to a third dose received ≥84 days ago, a fourth dose recommendation for LTC residents improved protection against infection, symptomatic infection, and severe outcomes caused by Omicron. Compared to unvaccinated individuals, fourth doses provide strong protection against symptomatic infection and severe outcomes but the duration of protection remains unknown.