2014
DOI: 10.1257/aer.104.12.3991
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Hot and Cold Seasons in the Housing Market

Abstract: Every year housing markets in the United Kingdom and the United States experience systematic above-trend increases in both prices and transactions during the second and third quarters (the "hot season") and below-trend falls during the fourth and …rst quarters (the "cold season"). House price seasonality poses a challenge to existing models of the housing market. To explain seasonal patterns, this paper develops a matching model that emphasizes the role of match-speci…c quality between the buyer and the house … Show more

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Cited by 218 publications
(133 citation statements)
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“…Recent studies have turned to quantitative evaluations using micro data (see Diaz and Perez, 2013;Head et al, 2014;Ngai and Tenreyro, 2014;Guren and McQuade, 2014;Anenberg and Bayer, 2014;Halket and Pignatti, 2015;Burnside et al, 2016;Guren, 2017).Most of these authors are interested in how search modifies the time series dynamics of house prices and market activity in homogeneous housing markets. In contrast, our focus is on steady states of markets with rich cross sections of houses and buyers.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recent studies have turned to quantitative evaluations using micro data (see Diaz and Perez, 2013;Head et al, 2014;Ngai and Tenreyro, 2014;Guren and McQuade, 2014;Anenberg and Bayer, 2014;Halket and Pignatti, 2015;Burnside et al, 2016;Guren, 2017).Most of these authors are interested in how search modifies the time series dynamics of house prices and market activity in homogeneous housing markets. In contrast, our focus is on steady states of markets with rich cross sections of houses and buyers.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The real estate market is characterized by a "search-and-match" mechanism, a large part of which takes place outdoors, and many prospective home-buyers search for houses in the summer (Ngai and Tenreyro (2014)). Higher summer temperatures may negatively affect prospective home-buyers' productivity in searching, thus impacting the overall sales volume of this market.…”
Section: Industry Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Whereas search processes in this market are indisputably frictional, 3 there still are relatively few search and matching models of the housing market as a whole. After the seminal work of Wheaton (1990), most of the advances have been made in recent years (Albrecht, Anderson, Smith, and Vroman 2007, Ngai and Tenreyro 2014, Díaz and Jerez 2013, Albrecht, Gautier, and Vroman 2015, Carrillo 2012. These various papers study many interesting features of the housing market, such as the divide between tenants and homeowners or the fact that sellers are often also buyers.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%