How Much CO2 Emissions Can Be Reduced in China’s Heating Industry

Abstract

China's heating industry is a coal-fired industry with serious environmental issues. CO 2 emissions from the heating industry accounted for an average 6.1% of China's carbon emissions during 1985-2010. The potential for reducing emissions in China's heating industry is evaluated by co-integration analysis and scenario analysis. The results demonstrate that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship among CO 2 emissions and the influencing factors, including energy intensity, industrial scale, labor productivity, and energy productivity. Monte Carlo technique is adopted for risk analysis. It is found that the CO 2 emissions reduction potential of the heating industry will be 26.

Drivers and trajectories of China’s renewable energy consumption

“…With the context above, we assumed that the AAGR of economic growth over the next ten years (2021–2030) will be similar to that during the 13th FYP period. We followed Lin and Lin ( 2016 ) to set three scenarios of GDP: business-as-usual (BAU), Moderate, and Advanced GDP scenarios. The Moderate and Advanced GDP scenarios are based on the BAU GDP scenario with variation ranges at 1.0 percentage increments for AAGRs.…”

Toward a Sustainable Low-Carbon China: A Review of the Special Issue of “Energy Economics and Management”

“…Most papers in this Special Issue show great interest in the CO 2 emissions [1,7,9,11,12] and the carbon intensity [8,13]. Some of these studies use the conventional regression to analyze CO 2 emissions [1,8,13], but the downside of this method is that conventional regressions cannot solve the problems of multiple inputs/outputs in these models.…”

“…Further, more residents of Southern China are demanding central heating. China's heating industry, thus, accounts for 89.4% of the total energy consumption during 1985-2010 [12]. CO 2 emissions from the heating industry accounted for an average 6.1% of China's carbon emissions during 1985-2010 and there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between CO 2 emissions and factors such as energy intensity, industrial scale, labor productivity, and energy productivity by the co-integration method.…”

“…The development of spatial econometrics and the use of the spatial panel data model incorporate spatial dynamics into the analysis of the trends and drivers of China's carbon emissions [7]. Finally, a paper evaluates the potential for reducing CO 2 emissions by co-integration analysis and scenario analysis [12].…”

“…The Monte Carlo technique is adopted for the risk analysis. The results indicate that there is considerable potential for CO 2 emissions mitigation in China's heating industry [12]. In addition to the above research, the threshold effect of the relationship between financial development and carbon emission intensity from the perspectives of financial scale and financial efficiency were tested.…”