Impact assessment of projected climate change on the hydrological regime in the SE Alps, Upper Soča River basin, Slovenia

Janža, Mitja

doi:10.1007/s11069-011-9892-7

Cited by 14 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…For Mediterranean France, Dumas et al (2013) projected increased 100-year floods, particularly for the lower Rhone Basin, similarly for the eastern reaches of the Po River (Dankers and Feyen, 2009;Rojas et al, 2012). For the Upper Soĉa River in Slovenia, increasing high-flow magnitudes have been projected as well (Janža, 2011).…”

Section: (Iii) Mediterraneanmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment

Hall

Arheimer

Borga

et al. 2014

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

498

335

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Abstract. There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has traditionally been obtained through two alternative research approaches. The first approach is the data-based detection of changes in observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for nonlinear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities associated with flood change scenarios are discussed such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on long duration records and flood-rich and flood-poor periods rather than on short duration flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.

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Section: (Iii) Mediterraneanmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment

Hall

Arheimer

Borga

et al. 2014

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

498

335

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…For Europe, large sets of RCM simulations using a wide range of different GCMs and RCMs are available with horizontal resolutions of 50, 25 and 12 km (Christensen and Christensen, 2007;Van der Linden and Mitchell, 2009;Jones et al, 2011). While they do not explicitly represent convective precipitation and associated feedback processes, which are important for the European summer weather, it is expected that within a decade new scenarios with explicit convection at horizontal resolutions of around 1 km will become available (Hohenegger et al, 2008(Hohenegger et al, , 2009.…”

Section: (I) Atmospheric Modelling and Downscalingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state of the art assessment

Hall¹,

Arheimer²,

Borga³

et al. 2013

Preprint

122

168

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Abstract. There is growing concern that flooding is becoming more frequent and severe in Europe. A better understanding of flood regime changes and their drivers is therefore needed. The paper reviews the current knowledge on flood regime changes in European rivers that has been obtained through two approaches. The first approach is the detection of change based on observed flood events. Current methods are reviewed together with their challenges and opportunities. For example, observation biases, the merging of different data sources and accounting for non-linear drivers and responses. The second approach consists of modelled scenarios of future floods. Challenges and opportunities are discussed again such as fully accounting for uncertainties in the modelling cascade and feedbacks. To make progress in flood change research, we suggest that a synthesis of these two approaches is needed. This can be achieved by focusing on flood-rich and flood-poor periods rather than on flood trends only, by formally attributing causes of observed flood changes, by validating scenarios against observed flood regime dynamics, and by developing low-dimensional models of flood changes and feedbacks. The paper finishes with a call for a joint European flood change research network.

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“…While Alpine rivers have wide catchments, with seasonal regime related both to snow-meltdown and abundant rainfall (Janža, 2013), those coming from the Northern Dinarides are strongly influenced by karst hydrology (Kovačič and Ravbar, 2010), thus showing underground reaches and enhanced sensitivity to heavy precipitations. The two hydrologic systems had different responses to climate changes during the Late Pleistocene.…”

Section: Geological and Geomorphological Setting Between The Julian Amentioning

confidence: 99%

“…(For interpretation of the references to color in this figure, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) tributary Idrijca River flows (Janža, 2013). The Soča Valley shows several abrupt change directions in part owing to the Quaternary activity of the NW-SE trending Idrija strike-slip fault system (e.g., Rižnar et al, 2007).…”

Section: Geological and Geomorphological Setting Between The Julian Amentioning

confidence: 99%