Impact of Climate Change on Estuarine Zooplankton: Surface Water Warming in Long Island Sound Is Associated with Changes in Copepod Size and Community Structure

Rice, E. J.; Dam, Hans G.; Stewart, Gillian

doi:10.1007/s12237-014-9770-0

Cited by 82 publications

(72 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…More recent work continues to strongly support the findings of AR5 that many species are undergoing geographical and phenological shifts as a result of warming (Vehmaa et al, 2013;Goberville et al, 2014;Kamya et al, 2014;Mackenzie et al, 2014a;Church et al, 2013;Mackenzie et al, 2014a,b,c;Queirós et al, 2014;Rice et al, 2014). The AR5 found that zooplankton have exhibited some of the most extreme geographic range shifts of over 100 km decade −1 .…”

Section: Updates To Ar5mentioning

confidence: 82%

“…New evidence continues to add to the high confidence level that observed changes in distribution, phenology and reproduction of plants and animals in marine ecosystems are, at least partially, temperature induced Beaugrand et al, 2014;Goberville et al, 2014;Hiddink et al, 2014;Jones and Cheung, 2014;Kim et al, 2014;Lambert et al, 2014;MonteroSerra et al, 2014;Rice et al, 2014). As different species and groups have differential responses to warming, effects are seen at every trophic level and can also be amplified up the food chain (Pinsky et al, 2013;Chust et al, 2014).…”

Section: Updates To Ar5mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This may cause high vulnerability in seasonally spawning fish species (Crozier and Hutchings, 2014;Elettra et al, 2014). There is medium confidence that warming also causes a decrease in the body size of some marine fishes (Rice et al, 2014).…”

Section: Updates To Ar5mentioning

confidence: 99%

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An updated synthesis of the observed and projected impacts of climate change on the chemical, physical and biological processes in the oceans

et al. 2015

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The 5th Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) states with very high certainty that anthropogenic emissions have caused measurable changes in the physical ocean environment. These changes are summarized with special focus on those that are predicted to have the strongest, most direct effects on ocean biological processes; namely, ocean warming and associated phenomena (including stratification and sea level rise) as well as deoxygenation and ocean acidification. The biological effects of these changes are then discussed for microbes (including phytoplankton), plants, animals, warm and cold-water corals, and ecosystems. The IPCC AR5 highlighted several areas related to both the physical and biological processes that required further research. As a rapidly developing field, there have been many pertinent studies published since the cut off dates for the AR5, which have increased our understanding of the processes at work. This study undertook an extensive review of recently published literature to update the findings of the AR5 and provide a synthesized review on the main issues facing future oceans. The level of detail provided in the AR5 and subsequent work provided a basis for constructing projections of the state of ocean ecosystems in 2100 under two the Representative Concentration Pathways RCP4.5 and 8.5. Finally the review highlights notable additions, clarifications and points of departure from AR5 provided by subsequent studies.

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Section: Updates To Ar5mentioning

confidence: 82%

Section: Updates To Ar5mentioning

confidence: 99%

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An updated synthesis of the observed and projected impacts of climate change on the chemical, physical and biological processes in the oceans

et al. 2015

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“…Changes in the frequency of high-wind episodic events may further impact the growth of algal blooms within Lake Mendota (Kara et al, 2012). Elevated water temperatures can affect plankton community composition and abundance (Elliot et al, 2005;Findlay et al, 2001;Francis et al, 2014;Rice et al, 2015) and fish populations (Carpenter et al, 1992;De Stasio et al, 1996;Gunn, 2002;Magnuson et al, 1990). High water temperatures have been also shown to enhance the dominance of cyanobacteria (Huber et al, 2008;Jöhnk et al, 2008).…”

Section: Ecological Significance Of Long-term Changes In Lake Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trends and abrupt changes in 104 years of ice cover and water temperature in a dimictic lake in response to air temperature, wind speed, and water clarity drivers

Magee

Robertson

et al. 2016

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

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Abstract. The one-dimensional hydrodynamic ice model, DYRESM-WQ-I, was modified to simulate ice cover and thermal structure of dimictic Lake Mendota, Wisconsin, USA, over a continuous 104-year period (1911-2014). The model results were then used to examine the drivers of changes in ice cover and water temperature, focusing on the responses to shifts in air temperature, wind speed, and water clarity at multiyear timescales. Observations of the drivers include a change in the trend of warming air temperatures from 0.081 • C per decade before 1981 to 0.334 • C per decade thereafter, as well as a shift in mean wind speed from 4.44 m s −1 before 1994 to 3.74 m s −1 thereafter. Observations show that Lake Mendota has experienced significant changes in ice cover: later ice-on date(9.0 days later per century), earlier ice-off date (12.3 days per century), decreasing ice cover duration (21.3 days per century), while model simulations indicate a change in maximum ice thickness (12.7 cm decrease per century). Model simulations also show changes in the lake thermal regime of earlier stratification onset (12.3 days per century), later fall turnover (14.6 days per century), longer stratification duration (26.8 days per century), and decreasing summer hypolimnetic temperatures (−1.4 • C per century). Correlation analysis of lake variables and driving variables revealed ice cover variables, stratification onset, epilimnetic temperature, and hypolimnetic temperature were most closely correlated with air temperature, whereas freeze-over water temperature, hypolimnetic heating, and fall turnover date were more closely correlated with wind speed. Each lake variable (i.e., ice-on and ice-off dates, ice cover duration, maximum ice thickness, freeze-over water temperature, stratification onset, fall turnover date, stratification duration, epilimnion temperature, hypolimnion temperature, and hypolimnetic heating) was averaged for the three periods (1911-1980, 1981-1993, and 1994-2014) delineated by abrupt changes in air temperature and wind speed. Average summer hypolimnetic temperature and fall turnover date exhibit significant differences between the third period and the first two periods. Changes in ice cover (ice-on and iceoff dates, ice cover duration, and maximum ice thickness) exhibit an abrupt change after 1994, which was related in part to the warm El Niño winter of 1997-1998. Under-ice water temperature, freeze-over water temperature, hypolimnetic temperature, fall turnover date, and stratification duration demonstrate a significant difference in the third period , when air temperature was warmest and wind speeds decreased rather abruptly. The trends in ice cover and water temperature demonstrate responses to both long-term and abrupt changes in meteorological conditions that can be complemented with numerical modeling to better understand how these variables will respond in a future climate.Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union.

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“…Ocean warming, due to increasing CO 2 emissions, has been shown to have multiple effects on marine organisms including a decrease in phytoplankton cell size (Finkel et al., ; Moran, Lopez‐Urrutia, Calvo‐Diaz, & Li, ), changes in the distribution, structure and phenology of zooplankton (Rice, Dam, & Stewart, ; Richardson, ) and pelagic communities (Edwards & Richardson, ; Montero‐Serra, Edwards, & Genner, ), with repercussions for higher trophic levels (e.g., Cushing, ; Hoegh‐Guldberg & Bruno, ), and catch potential (e.g., Cheung, Dunne, Sarmiento, & Pauly, ; Hays, Richardson, & Robinson, ). Similar impacts on the southern Benguela ecosystem as a whole can be expected from the warming of this system.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evaluating the effects of climate change in the southern Benguela upwelling system using the Atlantis modelling framework

Ortega-Cisneros

Cochrane

Fulton

et al. 2018

Fisheries Oceanography

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The ocean is affected by multiple anthropogenic stressors including climate change, the effects of which are already evident in many ocean ecosystems. The ABACuS v2 end‐to‐end model together with climate projections from the NEMO‐MEDUSA 2.0 model were used to evaluate the effects of fishing, warming and horizontal and vertical mixing on the southern Benguela upwelling system. Of the drivers examined in this study, warming had the greatest effect on species biomass, with mainly negative effects. The magnitude of the impacts of warming intensified from the RCP 2.6 to the 8.5 emission scenario. Fishing negatively affected demersal and large pelagic fish, which in turn resulted in a biomass increase of forage fish due to a decrease in predation pressure. Water mixing was found to have minor indirect effects on zooplankton biomass and fish. The responses of species and species groups to the combined effects of fishing and warming were approximately equally divided between additive, synergistic and antagonistic. Interpretation of our model results suggests that the southern Benguela system is likely to be affected by climate change, including substantial changes in the abundance of some species important to the region's fisheries. Future planning for fisheries needs to take this into account, including through management that strives to maintain the resilience of key species and the system as a whole. In line with previous studies on the southern Benguela, the results reinforce the importance of including consideration of the indirect and combined impacts of climate change and fishing in management and planning.

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Impact of Climate Change on Estuarine Zooplankton: Surface Water Warming in Long Island Sound Is Associated with Changes in Copepod Size and Community Structure

Cited by 82 publications

References 36 publications

An updated synthesis of the observed and projected impacts of climate change on the chemical, physical and biological processes in the oceans

An updated synthesis of the observed and projected impacts of climate change on the chemical, physical and biological processes in the oceans

Trends and abrupt changes in 104 years of ice cover and water temperature in a dimictic lake in response to air temperature, wind speed, and water clarity drivers

Evaluating the effects of climate change in the southern Benguela upwelling system using the Atlantis modelling framework

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