Impact of climate variability in Lithuania and Belarus on atmospheric precipitation infiltration: lysimetric study

Tripolskaja, Liudmila; Pirogovskaja, Galina

doi:10.13080/z-a.2013.100.047

Cited by 12 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…The air temperature and precipitation change patterns in BiH are consistent with the predominant trends in other areas of East Europe (Branković et al, 2013;Bukantis & Rimkus, 2005a;Bukantis & Rimkus, 2005b;Burić et al, 2013;Jaagus et al, 2009;Rutgersson et al, 2014;Tripolskaja & Pirogovskaja, 2013;Unkasevic & Tosic, 2013) and with trends observed globally (Jacob et al, 2018;Kharin et al, 2013;Popov et al, 2018b;Trenberth et al, 2013).…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 83%

Changes in the Water Balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a Result of Climate Change

Čadro¹,

Uzunović²,

Cherni-Cadro³

et al. 2019

AgricultForest

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The analysis of meteorological data from the period 1961-2014 show the rise in the mean annual temperature in the entire territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina. The changes are more pronounced in the central-hilly part of the country. The increase in annual air temperature ranges from 0.4 to 1.0°C per decade, whereas temperature increases during vegetation period were up to 1.2°C per decade. Additionally, increases in air temperature over the last fourteen years are even more pronounced. Changed distribution of precipitation, significant variations and the increasing soil moisture deficit during vegetation period (April-September) are also evident in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The increase in air temperature combined with changes in the distribution of precipitation has resulted in a change of evapotranspiration and annual water balance. The main objective of this study was to determine and compare the severity of changes in mean annual water balance components between different regions in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Monthly weather data from 26 weather stations in Bosnia and Herzegovina, for the time period of 50 years (1967-2016) were used to determine and analyze impact of climate change on the following water balance components: temperature, precipitation, reference evapotranspiration, actual evapotranspiration, total runoff, soil moisture deficit and amount of snow. The results indicate that climate change has a substantial effect on the all water balance components. Air temperature (0.21-0.7 o C per decade), reference evapotranspiration (0.61-42.81 mm per decade) and soil moisture deficit (1.35-27.71 mm per decade) show an increasing trend over the entire territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina with the strongest increase in the northwest part of the country.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 83%

Changes in the Water Balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a Result of Climate Change

Čadro¹,

Uzunović²,

Cherni-Cadro³

et al. 2019

AgricultForest

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“…The increasing trends of the air temperature (T) are similar for Kaunas and Sarajevo WS, ranging from 0.052 0 C to 0.047 0 C. Increasing trends ware also detected for the annual amount of precipitation, ranging from 3.582 mm year -1 in Kaunas to 1.724 mm year -1 in Sarajevo, Annual sum of precipitation has increased by more than 100 mm in Kaunas for a period of 30 years . The observed air temperature and precipitation change patterns in Lithuania and B&H are consistent with the predominant trends in other areas of East Europe Bukantis ArūNas & Rimkus Egidijus, 2005;Jaagus et al, 2009;Branković et al, 2013;Burić et al, 2013;Tripolskaja & Pirogovskaja, 2013;Unkasevic & Tosic, 2013;Rutgersson et al, 2014) and with trends observed globally (Kharin et al, 2013;Trenberth et al, 2013;Jacob et al, 2018;Popov et al, 2018).…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 84%

Impact of Climate Change on the Annual Water Balance in a Humid Climate

Čadro¹,

Miseckaitė²,

Gavrić³

et al. 2018

AgricultForest

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Lithuania and Bosnia and Herzegovina are considered as countries with high vulnerability and low adaptive capacity to cope with climate change. The entire territory of these countries is characterized by the warming trend, with positive trends in both the maximum and the minimum temperatures throughout the year. The increase in air temperature has resulted in change of evapotranspiration and mean annual water balance values. These countries are also frequently faced with an occurrence of severe droughts and heavy floods. The main purpose of this study was to determine and compare the severity of changes in mean annual water balance for two humid climatic zones, in order to understand how different areas of similar climate characteristics react to climate change and to analyze the significance of their influence. Monthly weather data from two weather stations, Kaunas (Lithuania) and Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina), for the time period of 30 years (1988 -2017) were used to determine and analyze the mean annual water balance. The results indicate that climate change has a different effect on the water balance of these two humid areas. Both locations showed a positive trend of reference evapotranspiration, with an increase of 1.450 mm year -1 to 1.503 mm year -1 . However, the total runoff and soil moisture deficit are decreasing in Kaunas (-0.480 mm and -2.114 mm year -1 , respectively), while they are increasing in Sarajevo (0.492 mm and 0.485 mm year -1 , respectively).

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“…Degirmendžić et al [48] showed a downward trend in almost the entire country, which supports views that the continental features of pluvial conditions are weakening slightly. The situation is similar in many regions of Europe, e.g., in Germany [49] and Belarus [50].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 77%

Variation in Atmospheric Precipitation in Poland in the Years 2001–2018

Ziernicka–Wojtaszek

Kopcińska

2020

Atmosphere

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Climate change scenarios are in agreement as to the direction of air temperature changes in global warming, although the magnitude of the warming depends on the scenario adopted. In contrast, projections of changes in precipitation totals in Poland are not clear and obvious. Analysis of long-term observational series reveals no clear significant trends in levels of precipitation, despite periods of fluctuation, as well as an upward trend reported in the annual amount of precipitation, especially in northern Poland. However, the increasing variability of annual rainfall totals is commonly highlighted. In the years 1861–1990, the coefficient of variation of annual precipitation totals increased from about 10% to 16%. In the years 1971–2000, this coefficient for Poland increased to 17%, and in the period of 2001–2018, which is the subject of the present study, to 19%. Despite the lack of clear trends in annual totals, the increase in the coefficient of variation results in an increase in the frequency of both drought and floods. This unfavorable situation is exacerbated by the downward trend observed in the share of summer rainfall in the annual total. In urban areas with increasing surface sealing, the share of surface runoff in the water balance increases, and in this situation short-term rainfall will cause local flooding.

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Impact of climate variability in Lithuania and Belarus on atmospheric precipitation infiltration: lysimetric study

Cited by 12 publications

References 4 publications

Changes in the Water Balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a Result of Climate Change

Changes in the Water Balance of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a Result of Climate Change

Impact of Climate Change on the Annual Water Balance in a Humid Climate

Variation in Atmospheric Precipitation in Poland in the Years 2001–2018

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