Introduction
Lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) are a leading cause of mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. Triaging identifies patients at high-risk of death but laboratory tests proposed for use in severity-of-illness scores are not readily available, limiting their clinical use. Our objective was to determine whether baseline characteristics in hospitalized participants with LRTI predicted increased risk of death.
Methods
This was a secondary analysis from the MIND-IHOP cohort of adults hospitalized with LRTI who underwent standardized investigations and treatment. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality at two months. Predictors of mortality were determined using multiple logistic regression.
Results
Of 1887 hospitalized participants with LRTI, 372 (19.7%) died. The median participant age was 34.3 years (Interquartile Range, IQR, 28.0–43.3 years), 978 (51.8%) were men, and 1192 (63.2%) were HIV-positive with median CD4 counts of 81 cells/µL (IQR 21–226 cells/µL). Seven hundred eleven (37.7%) participants had a microbiologically confirmed diagnosis. Temperature <35.5ºC (aOR=1.77, 95% CI=1.20–2.60; p=0.004), heart rate >120/minute (aOR=1.82, 95% CI=1.37–2.43; p<0.0001), oxygen saturation <90% (aOR=2.74, 95% CI=1.97–3.81; p<0.0001), being bed-bound (aOR=1.88, 95% CI=1.47–2.41; p<0.0001) and being HIV-positive (aOR=1.49, 95%CI=1.14–1.94; p=0.003) were independently associated with mortality at two months.
Conclusions
Having temperature <35.5°C, heart rate >120/minute, hypoxia; being HIV positive and bed-bound independently predicts mortality in participants hospitalized with LRTI. These readily-available characteristics could be used to triage patients with LRTI in low-income settings. Providing adequate oxygen, adequate intravenous fluids; and early antiretroviral therapy (in people living with HIV/AIDS) may be life-saving in hospitalized patients with LRTI.