Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the circulation of other pathogens in England

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic and the associated prevention measures did not only impact on the transmission of COVID-19 but also on the spread of other infectious diseases in an unprecedented natural experiment. Here, we analysed the transmission patterns of 22 different infectious diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic in England. Our results show that the COVID-19 prevention measures generally reduced the spread of pathogens that are transmitted via the air and the faecal-oral route. Moreover, the COVID-19 prevention measures resulted in the sustained suppression of vaccine-preventable infectious diseases also after the removal of restrictions, while non-vaccine preventable diseases displayed a rapid rebound. Despite concerns that a lack of exposure to common pathogens may affect population immunity and result in large outbreaks by various pathogens post-COVID-19, only four of the 22 investigated diseases and disease groups displayed higher post-than pre-pandemic levels without an obvious causative relationship. Notably, this included chickenpox for which an effective vaccine is available but not used in the UK, which provides strong evidence supporting the inclusion of the chickenpox vaccination into the routine vaccination schedule in the UK. In conclusion, our findings provide unique, novel insights into the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the spread of a broad range of infectious diseases.