2019
DOI: 10.3390/su11226419
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Impacts of Clean Energy Substitution for Polluting Fossil-Fuels in Terminal Energy Consumption on the Economy and Environment in China

Abstract: China has initiated various dedicated policies on clean energy substitution for polluting fossil-fuels since the early 2010s to alleviate severe carbon emissions and environmental pollution and accelerate clean energy transformation. Using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) regression, we project the potentials of substituting coal and oil with clean energy for different production sectors in China toward the year 2030. Based on the projections, a dynamic multi-sectoral computable general equ… Show more

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Cited by 33 publications
(20 citation statements)
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References 39 publications
(50 reference statements)
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“…In this study, a multi-region, multi-sector CGE model (GTAP-E), developed at Purdue University, USA [77], was used to assess the impact of the US-Iran tension on Chinese energy security and economic growth. With a long history of systematic improvements, the GTAP-E model has been widely used to analyze the effects of changes in energy production, international trade and climate [78][79][80][81]. There is an emerging body of literature that employs global CGE models, including the GTAP model, to study the impacts of the international conflict [49,82,83].…”
Section: Gtap-e-modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this study, a multi-region, multi-sector CGE model (GTAP-E), developed at Purdue University, USA [77], was used to assess the impact of the US-Iran tension on Chinese energy security and economic growth. With a long history of systematic improvements, the GTAP-E model has been widely used to analyze the effects of changes in energy production, international trade and climate [78][79][80][81]. There is an emerging body of literature that employs global CGE models, including the GTAP model, to study the impacts of the international conflict [49,82,83].…”
Section: Gtap-e-modelmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…"Carbon lock-in" was first proposed by Unruh [10], who pointed out that once the carbon-based technology trapped in fossil energy is stable, under the positive feedback of increasing returns to scale, the stakeholders develop the system around high-carbon technology, thus gradually forming a "techno-institutional complex" (TIC). In addition, Unruh [11] further pointed out that the carbon-based technology is locked in fossil energy due to the path dependence formed by the interaction with the system, thus strengthening the carbon lock-in [12,13]. For the high-carbon manufacturing industry, due to industry attribute factors, its production activities rely on the deep processing of mineral resources.…”
Section: Carbon Lock-in Of High-carbon Manufacturing Industrymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, since cleaner production has certain advantages [8], the regional clean production technology and the completeness of infrastructure significantly affect the improvement of the economy with lower emissions driven by the energy consumption transformation. Specifically, in regions with a high level of cleaner production, companies can learn from experience to improve significant production and processing technology, lay the technical groundwork for the production and rational utilization of new energy, reduce resistance to energy transition and accelerate the process of the regional energy transition, thus improving the low-carbon effect of energy consumption transformation.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%