Impacts of Climate Change on the Irrigation Districts of the Rio Bravo Basin

Paredes-Tavares, Jorge; Albores, Miguel Ángel Gómez; Mastachi-Loza, Carlos Alberto; Díaz-Delgado, Carlos; Becerril-Piña, Rocío; Martínez-Valdés, Héctor; Bâ, Khalidou M.

doi:10.3390/w10030258

Cited by 8 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 31 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…This confirms that the environmental perspective of sustainability receives more attention than the rest of the dimensions. In this respect, farmers must take into account the climate variations as part of their production system in order to guarantee the survival of their economic activity and food security [78]. Furthermore, it will also be necessary to identify and study the agricultural areas most prone to variations in order to be able to design specific adaptation plans that minimise their vulnerability to climate change [79].…”

Section: Abstract Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

The Use of Water in Agriculture in Mexico and Its Sustainable Management: A Bibliometric Review

et al. 2020

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The development of agricultural activity in Mexico is generating environmental externalities that could compromise its future. One of the principal challenges facing the Mexican agricultural sector is to find a way to continue growing without jeopardising the availability and quality of its water resources. The objective of this article is to analyse the dynamics of the research on the use of water in agriculture in Mexico and its sustainable management. To do this, a review and a bibliometric analysis have been carried out on a sample of 1490 articles. The results show that the research has focused on the pollution of water bodies, climate change, the quality of water, the application of technology in order to make water use more efficient, biodiversity, erosion, agronomic practices that reduce water consumption, underground water sources, and conservation agriculture. Although research focusing on sustainability is still in its infancy, it has become a priority field. A gap in the research has been detected in terms of the economic and social dimensions of sustainability. There is also a lack of holistic studies that include all three of the pillars of sustainability (environmental, economic, and social).

show abstract

Section: Abstract Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

The Use of Water in Agriculture in Mexico and Its Sustainable Management: A Bibliometric Review

et al. 2020

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The second and third scenarios are associated with variations in rainfall and temperature according to the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 models of climate change [104]. These scenarios were estimated using the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) [49,105].…”

Section: Estimation Of Pgrmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Figure 5a shows a comparative view of the hydrographs with the simulated and observed surface monthly runoff volume corresponding to the contributing catchment area of gauge station 19,018 (see Figure 1). According to several criteria [105], the goodness of fit for the model is satisfactory because it provides an adjusted coefficient of determination equal to 0.768, and a Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of 0.767. In annual terms, the average simulated runoff volume was equal to 172.7 hm 3 /year (with a standard deviation of 57.2 hm 3 /year) whilst the average observed runoff volume was equal to 173.5 hm 3 /year (with a standard deviation of 90.0 hm 3 /year).…”

Section: Current and Future Potential Groundwater Rechargementioning

confidence: 99%

Proportional Variation of Potential Groundwater Recharge as a Result of Climate Change and Land-Use: A Study Case in Mexico

Guerrero-Morales

Fonseca

Albores

et al. 2020

Land

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This work proposes a methodology whereby the selection of hydrologic and land-use cover change (LUCC) models allows an assessment of the proportional variation in potential groundwater recharge (PGR) due to both land-use cover change (LUCC) and some climate change scenarios for 2050. The simulation of PGR was made through a distributed model, based on empirical methods and the forecasting of LUCC stemming from a supervised classification with remote sensing techniques, both inside a Geographic Information System. Once the supervised classification was made, a Markov-based model was developed to predict LUCC to 2050. The method was applied in Acapulco, an important tourism center for Mexico. From 1986 to 2017, the urban area increased 5%, and by 2050 was predicted to cover 16%. In this period, a loss of 7 million m3 of PGR was assumed to be caused by the estimated LUCC. From 2017 to 2050, this loss is expected to increase between 73 and 273 million m3 depending on the considered climate change scenario, which is the equivalent amount necessary for satisfying the water needs of 6 million inhabitants. Therefore, modeling the variation in groundwater recharge can be an important tool for identifying water vulnerability, through both climate and land-use change.

show abstract

“…Twenty-two million hectares of land are planted with crops in Mexico, of which 15.8 million hectares are rainfed [22]. ere are 2.8 million hectares of rainfed crops planted in the LCSB, 18.2% of the national total.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seasonal Changes in Climate Variables in Rainfed Crop Areas in the Lerma-Chapala-Santiago Basin, Mexico

Ordoñez-Sierra

Albores

Díaz-Delgado

et al. 2021

Advances in Meteorology

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This paper shows the effects of changes in the spatial-temporal behavior and phase shift of climate variables on rainfed agriculture in the Lerma-Chapala-Santiago Basin in central Mexico. Specifically, changes in rainfall (R), maximum temperature (Tmax), and minimum temperature (Tmin) were analyzed over two 25-year periods (1960 to 1985 and 1986 to 2010). Climate surfaces were generated by interpolation using the thin-plate smoothing spline algorithm in the software ANUSPLIN. Climate data were Fourier-transformed and fitted to a sinusoidal curve model, and changes in amplitude (increase) and phase were analyzed. The temporal behavior (1960–2010) indicated that rainfall was the most stable variable at the monthly level and presented no significant changes. However, Tmax increased by 2°C in the final period, and Tmin increased by 0.7°C at the end of the final period. The basin was discretized into ten rainfed crop areas (RCAs) according to the extent of changes in the amplitude and phase of the climate variables. The central and southern portions (55% of the area) presented more significant changes in amplitude, mainly in Tmin and Tmax. The remaining RCAs were smaller (14.6%) but presented greater variation: the amplitude of the Tmin decreased in addition to showing a phase shift, whereas Tmax increased in addition to showing a phase shift. These results translate into a delay in the characteristic temperatures of the spring and summer seasons, which can impact the rainfed crop cycle. Additionally, rainfall showed an annual decrease of approximately 50 mm in all RCAs, which can affect the phenological development of crops during critical stages (emergence through flowering). These changes represent a significant threat to the regional economy and food security of Mexico.

show abstract

Impacts of Climate Change on the Irrigation Districts of the Rio Bravo Basin

Cited by 8 publications

References 31 publications

The Use of Water in Agriculture in Mexico and Its Sustainable Management: A Bibliometric Review

The Use of Water in Agriculture in Mexico and Its Sustainable Management: A Bibliometric Review

Proportional Variation of Potential Groundwater Recharge as a Result of Climate Change and Land-Use: A Study Case in Mexico

Seasonal Changes in Climate Variables in Rainfed Crop Areas in the Lerma-Chapala-Santiago Basin, Mexico

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About