Implications of the Russia–Ukraine war for global food security

Behnassi, Mohamed; Haiba, Mahjoub El

doi:10.1038/s41562-022-01391-x

Cited by 204 publications

(100 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…Third, the funding problems in the primary sector in developing economies are likely to be exacerbated by the current geopolitical conflict in Eastern Europe. The war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russia are having substantial negative food security impacts on countries in the Middle East, Africa, and elsewhere that rely on wheat imports from Ukraine and Russia [ 7 , 41 , 42 ], and food prices in global markets risking a 22% increase this year alone [ 16 ]. Both the COVID-19 pandemic and uncertainties associated with the current geopolitical events have implications for global supply chains, which themselves are closely linked to capital flows.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Role of foreign direct investments in agriculture, forestry and fishing in developing countries

Nyiwul

Koirala

2022

Futur Bus J

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The primary sector is vital for growth and sustainable development in emerging countries. The combined effects of COVID-19 and geopolitical uncertainty on capital flows are likely to have profound impacts on many developing countries. In particular, decreased capital inflows into agriculture will negatively affect food security and growth. However, there remain limited literature on the role of capital inflows in this sector. In this paper, we examine the role that foreign capital inflows play in the development of the agricultural, forestry and fishing sectors in developing countries. Specifically, we use the panel vector autoregression approach that accounts for endogeneity. Using data from sixteen developing economies, we find that there exists bidirectional causality between foreign direct investments in agriculture, forestry and fishing and value added in these sectors. These bidirectional relationships reflect a cyclical effect between FDI and value added in the agriculture, forestry and fishing. The effect of FDI on value added in agriculture, forestry and fishing remains positive for up to five years in our model. This implies FDI has a medium- to long-term positive impact on value added in agriculture, forestry and fishing. The implication of this result is that countries with currently high FDI transaction costs or that have a generally less conducive investment environment can improve agriculture by eliminating these obstacles. This is because FDIs can lead to improved technologies and technical expertise, practices, management and other systems that benefit the host countries.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Role of foreign direct investments in agriculture, forestry and fishing in developing countries

Nyiwul

Koirala

2022

Futur Bus J

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“… The COVID-19 epidemic and regional conflicts have weakened the resilience of agricultural supply chains in countries along the B&R. The former has caused severe disruption of agricultural supply chains—including restrictions on labor and interruption of transport, processing, retailing and input distribution, and highlighted the fragilities in regional and global agri-food systems, especially in countries along the B&R [ 73 , 74 , 75 ]. The latter especially the war in Ukraine have led to a decline in the scale of regional and global agricultural trade, deeply affecting the ability of some vulnerable food-importing countries to meet their needs and the ability of international agencies to provide food aid to countries that are suffer from famine, by the rising risks of disruptions to regional and global agricultural market and agricultural trade policy interventions [ 1 , 76 , 77 , 78 ]. …”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparative Advantage of Agricultural Trade in Countries along the Belt and Road and China and Its Dynamic Evolution Characteristics

Zhang

Sun

2022

Foods

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Trade is an important means to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) Target 2.1 “Zero Hunger”, and comparative advantage can be used to explain the causes and performance of trade. This study measures the static distribution of agricultural trade comparative advantage in countries along the Belt and Road (B&R) and China by utilizing the Balassa revealed comparative advantage (RCA) index, and further calculates its dynamic change by utilizing the revealed symmetric comparative advantage (RSCA) index and the ordinary least squares correlation analysis. The results show that: (1) in the face of multiple unfavorable factors, the initial comparative advantage of most agricultural products at Harmonized System (HS) 2-digit level in countries along the B&R and China deteriorated, simultaneously, but the initial comparative disadvantage of most and some agricultural products at HS 2-digit level in countries along the B&R and China improved, respectively; (2) the present agricultural trade comparative advantage in most countries along the B&R was higher than China and had a larger extent of change, but the current product structure of their bilateral agricultural trade was in line with each other’s comparative advantage, indirectly proving the validity of the Heckscher–Ohlin theorem. Our research findings suggest that the agricultural trade comparative advantage in countries along the B&R and China need to be further utilized to improve agricultural trade performance and better play its important role in ensuring global, regional, and national food security.

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“…Global problems of recent years, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, have proved that the food crisis and limitations of food availability are a real threat, as demonstrated by C. Béné et al [2]. Another example is the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which, according to M. Behnassi and M. El Haib [1], caused a huge and worsening challenge to world food security due to complications in export, mainly cereal products. In the light of the above, there is a need to consider introduction of alternative diets for soldiers, the judicious use of which will improve the quality assurance of their food and in emergency situations it will allow to eliminate certain groups of food products.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Proposal of an alternative diet as an element of improving the safety and quality of nutrition for soldiers

Kler

Sobczuk

Hlúbik

et al. 2022

SLW

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W określonej społeczności, którą tworzą również żołnierze, stosowana przez nich dieta powinna zaspakajać wszystkie potrzeby pokarmowe, z wykorzystaniem fizycznie i ekonomicznie dostępnych środków spożywczych (produktów, potraw). Można nazwać ją dietą zwyczajową. Natomiast w określonych sytuacjach, do których zaliczyć można ekspansję, chorób cywilizacyjnych XXI wieku, a także możliwe trudności z pozyskaniem dotychczas dostępnych niektórych produktów spożywczych, spowodowanych kryzysem w związku z trwającą wojną za wschodnią granicą Polski należy rozważyć stosowanie w sposób rozważny diet alternatywnych. Propozycję przykładowej diety pescowegetariańskiej, którą można zaliczyć do diet alternatywnych przedstawiono w artykule. Celem publikacji jest opracowanie jadłospisu dla diety, która może stanowić alternatywę normy wyżywienia żołnierzy w kontekście poprawy bezpieczeństwa jakości ich żywienia. Problemem badawczym zawartym w pracy jest pytanie: w jaki sposób dieta alternatywna może poprawić bezpieczeństwo jakości żywienia żołnierzy? W publikacji zastosowano niezbędne badawcze metody teoretyczne: analiza, synteza i wnioskowanie oraz empiryczne: badania dokumentów oraz modelowanie komputerowe w celu opracowania jadłospisu dla diety alternatywnej. Przeprowadzone w publikacji rozważania i propozycja jadłospisu diety alternatywnej - pescowegetariańskiej dowodzą pozytywnego jej wpływu na zapobieganie rozprzestrzenianiu się chorób cywilizacyjnych o podłożu dietetycznym, co przekłada się na stan zdrowia personelu wojskowego, a w konsekwencji pozwala utrzymać wymaganą sprawność fizyczną żołnierzy oraz ich dyspozycyjność podczas pełnienia służby wojskowej i wykonywania powierzonych zadań służbowych.

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Implications of the Russia–Ukraine war for global food security

Cited by 204 publications

References 5 publications

Role of foreign direct investments in agriculture, forestry and fishing in developing countries

Role of foreign direct investments in agriculture, forestry and fishing in developing countries

Comparative Advantage of Agricultural Trade in Countries along the Belt and Road and China and Its Dynamic Evolution Characteristics

Proposal of an alternative diet as an element of improving the safety and quality of nutrition for soldiers

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