2015
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-09114-3_9
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Implied Recovery Rates—Auctions and Models

Abstract: Credit spreads provide information about implied default probabilities and recovery rates. Trying to extract both parameters simultaneously from market data is challenging due to identifiability issues. We review existing default models with stochastic recovery rates and try calibrating them to observed credit spreads. We discuss the mechanisms of credit auctions and compare implied recoveries with realized auction results in the example of Allied Irish Banks (AIB).

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Cited by 2 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…Default is assumed to instantaneously trigger a credit event of the CDS. The bond is assumed to be a deliverable security in the auction following the CDS trigger event, and the auction process is assumed to yield the same recovery rate R. Although this is an unrealistic assumption in principle (see, e.g., [17]), a negative basis investor can always eliminate recovery risk by delivering his bonds into the auction (physical settlement), in which case he gets compensated by the (nominal-matched) CDS for the nominal loss of the bond. 4 Consequently, our assumption is not severe for the present purpose.…”
Section: General Notationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Default is assumed to instantaneously trigger a credit event of the CDS. The bond is assumed to be a deliverable security in the auction following the CDS trigger event, and the auction process is assumed to yield the same recovery rate R. Although this is an unrealistic assumption in principle (see, e.g., [17]), a negative basis investor can always eliminate recovery risk by delivering his bonds into the auction (physical settlement), in which case he gets compensated by the (nominal-matched) CDS for the nominal loss of the bond. 4 Consequently, our assumption is not severe for the present purpose.…”
Section: General Notationsmentioning
confidence: 99%