Improved Prediction of Poor Outcome After Thrombolysis Using Conservative Definitions of Symptomatic Hemorrhage

Background and Purpose— Various risk score models have been developed to predict symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (SICH) after intravenous thrombolysis for acute ischemic stroke. In this study, we aimed to determine the prediction performance of these risk scores in a Taiwanese population Methods— Prospectively collected data from 4 hospitals were used to calculate probability of SICH with the scores developed by Cucchiara et al, the Hemorrhage After Thrombolysis (HAT) score, the Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-SICH risk score, the Glucose Race Age Sex Pressure Stroke Severity score, and the Stroke Prognostication using Age and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale-100 index. We used logistic regression to evaluate the effectiveness of each risk model in predicting SICH and the c statistic to assess performance. Results— A total of 548 patients were included. The rates of SICH were 7.3% by the National Institute of Neurological Diseases and Stroke definition, 5.3% by the European-Australasian Cooperative Acute Stroke Study II definition, and 3.5% by the Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-Monitoring Study definition. The Cucchiara score, the HAT score, and the Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-SICH risk score were significant predictors of SICH for all 3 definitions, whereas the Glucose Race Age Sex Pressure Stroke Severity score and the Stroke Prognostication using Age and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale-100 index predicted well only for 1 or 2 definitions of SICH. The c statistic was highest for the HAT score (range, 0.69–0.73) across the definitions of SICH. Conclusions— The Cucchiara score, the HAT score, and the Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-SICH risk score predicted SICH reasonably well regardless of which SICH definition was used. However, only the HAT score had an acceptable discriminatory ability.

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 92%

“…3,28 Patients with SICH per SITS-MOST was also found to have the highest risk for death and poor outcome. 28 A proportion of our patients were treated with a lower dose of intravenous tPA. Whether the incidence of SICH is similar between standard dose and low-dose regimens remains unclear.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 92%

Comparison of Risk-scoring Systems in Predicting Symptomatic Intracerebral Hemorrhage After Intravenous Thrombolysis

Sung

Chen

Lin

et al. 2013

“…The definition of sICH according to ECASS II was chosen because it combines high inter-rater agreement 25 with high predictive value for the worst outcome after thrombolysis. 26 However, we also assessed the occurrence of sICH according to SITS definition (ie, local or remote parenchymal hemorrhage type 2 combined with NIHSS score worsening of at least 4 points or leading to death within 22-36 hours).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Intravenous Thrombolysis for Stroke Recurring Within 3 Months From the Previous Event

Karliñski¹,

Kobayashi²,

Członkowska³

et al. 2015

Background and Purpose-According to the European license, alteplase can be given no sooner than 3 months after previous stroke. However, it is not known whether past history of stroke influences the effect of treatment. Our aim was to evaluate safety and functional outcome after intravenous thrombolysis administered in everyday practice to patients with previous stroke ≤3 months compared with those with first-ever stroke. Methods-We analyzed consecutive cases treated with alteplase between October 2003 and July 2014 contributed to the Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis for Stroke-Eastern Europe registry from 12 countries. Odds ratios were calculated using unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression. Results-Of 13 007 patients, 11 221 (86%) had no history of stroke and 249 (2%) experienced previous stroke ≤3 months before admission. Patients with previous stroke ≤3 months had a higher proportion of hypertension and hyperlipidemia. There were no significant differences in outcome, including symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage according to European Cooperative Acute Stroke Study (unadjusted odds ratio 1.27, 95% confidence interval: 0.74-2.15), and being alive and independent at 3 months (odds ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval: 0.61-1.09). Conclusions-Patients currently treated with alteplase, despite a history of previous stroke ≤3 months, do not seem to achieve worse outcome than those with first-ever stroke. Although careful patient selection was probably of major importance, our findings provide reassurance that this group of patients may safely benefit from thrombolysis and should not be arbitrarily excluded as a whole. Further studies are needed to identify the shortest safe time lapse from the previous event to treatment with alteplase.

“…5 For the purpose of multivariable analysis, we have chosen the ECASS II definition of sICH because it combines high interrater agreement 12 with high predictive value for the worst outcome after thrombolysis.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Role of Preexisting Disability in Patients Treated With Intravenous Thrombolysis for Ischemic Stroke

Karliñski

Kobayashi

Członkowska

et al. 2014

Background and Purpose— Little is known about the effect of thrombolysis in patients with preexisting disability. Our aim was to evaluate the impact of different levels of prestroke disability on patients’ profile and outcome after intravenous thrombolysis. Methods— We analyzed the data of all stroke patients admitted between October 2003 and December 2011 that were contributed to the Safe Implementation of Treatments in Stroke–Eastern Europe (SITS-EAST) registry. Patients with no prestroke disability at all (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score, 0) were used as a reference in multivariable logistic regression. Results— Of 7250 patients, 5995 (82%) had prestroke mRS 0, 791 (11%) had prestroke mRS 1, 293 (4%) had prestroke mRS 2, and 171 (2%) had prestroke mRS ≥3. Compared with patients with mRS 0, all other groups were older, had more comorbidities, and more severe neurological deficit on admission. There was no clear association between preexisting disability and the risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. Prestroke mRS 1, 2, and ≥3 were associated with increased risk of death at 3 months (odds ratio, 1.3, 2.0, and 2.6, respectively) and lower chance of achieving favorable outcome (achieving mRS 0–2 or returning to the prestroke mRS; 0.80, 0.41, 0.59, respectively). Patients with mRS ≥3 and 2 had similar vascular profile and favorable outcome (34% versus 29%), despite higher mortality (48% versus 39%). Conclusions— Prestroke disability does not seem to independently increase the risk of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage after thrombolysis. Despite higher mortality, 1 in 3 previously disabled patients may return to his/her prestroke mRS. Therefore, they should not be routinely excluded from thrombolytic therapy.