1991
DOI: 10.1007/bf00129619
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Incorporating economic risk aversion in agroforestry planning

Abstract: The ability to use a knowledge of past market price fluctuations to reduce the risk of future financial returns is explored in the context of planning an agroforestry system with a cash crop component. It is demonstrated that if past crop price behavior is indicative of future price behavior, planting crops with stable and/or negatively correlated net revenues can reduce the variance of future net revenues and hence decrease the financial risks of agroforestry systems.

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Cited by 16 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…Some investigations deal with this question in relation to the assessment of agroforestry systems and non-timber forest products (e.g. Blandon, 1985;Lilieholm and Reeves, 1991;Babu and Rajasekaran, 1991). In the general field of ecosystem investigations Figge (2004) noticed that although the correlations between diversity and stability have been discussed several times, the parallels between approaches of financial mathematics and ecology have generally not been acknowledged.…”
Section: Forestry Studies and Financial Uncertaintymentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Some investigations deal with this question in relation to the assessment of agroforestry systems and non-timber forest products (e.g. Blandon, 1985;Lilieholm and Reeves, 1991;Babu and Rajasekaran, 1991). In the general field of ecosystem investigations Figge (2004) noticed that although the correlations between diversity and stability have been discussed several times, the parallels between approaches of financial mathematics and ecology have generally not been acknowledged.…”
Section: Forestry Studies and Financial Uncertaintymentioning
confidence: 98%
“…It is well recognized that the aspects of risk in economic analysis of agroforestry need explicit consideration [1,26]. Introduction of agroforestry into the already existing cropping systems in regions of adverse climatic conditions could be seen essentially as a strategy to reduce the risk in net returns of crops due to yield uncertainty [7].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Also the risk of agroforestry systems in respect to their economic outcome can vary considerably [23]. While there are some studies that analyze the risk of hypothetical agroforestry systems [7,26,38], no rigorous analysis of agroforestry systems has been carried out towards their influence on farm risk and uncertainty. Also there exists very limited empirical evidence on the associated changes in the pattern of land use and income generation when the uncertainty in the net farm income is accounted for.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The descriptive model provides a precise description of some properties of the system such as its architecture (Oldeman, 1992;De Reffye et al, 1995) or its carbon or energy budget (McMurtrie and Wolf, 1983;González, 1984). The prescriptive model generates management recommendations according to land allocation optimisation (Maxwell et al, 1979), risk aversion (Lilieholm and Reeves, 1991) or economic criteria (Garcia-de-Ceca and Gebremedhin, 1991). These models are generally based on linear inter-relationships between tree cover, forage and/or animal production (Uresk and Sevenson, 1989;Mitchell and Bartling, 1991;Scanlan, 1992;Khan and Pathak, 1995).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%