Incorporating uncertainties towards a sustainable European energy system: A stochastic approach for decarbonization paths focusing on the transport sector

Korkmaz, Pinar; Schmid, Dorothea; Fahl, Ulrich

doi:10.1016/j.esr.2021.100707

Cited by 8 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 22 publications

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“…These come from the high initial costs to purchase the vehicles and the implementation of charging infrastructure. In addition, the increased consumption of grid energy to meet demand can lead to increased GHG emissions until the decarbonization of the power system is achieved to promote a fully decarbonized fleet [83]. On the other hand, despite the high costs during the implementation process, electric buses are more cost-effective than diesel buses in the long run, and people are willing to use and pay more for this addition to mass transport [12,84].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Public Transport Decarbonization: An Exploratory Approach to Bus Electrification

Ribeiro,

Dias,

Mendes

2024

WEVJ

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In 2020, only 0.9% of buses running in European Union countries were electric, with 93.5% still being diesel-powered. The Sustainable and Smart Mobility Strategy set out by the European Commission targets a reduction of at least 55% in greenhouse gas emissions by 2023 and the achievement of climate neutrality by 2050. These targets will only be met by a shift to sustainable mobility, which comprises the introduction of electric vehicles in cities and the adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEV) for urban public transport. Thus, a literature review on “electrification of bus fleets” was conducted, focusing on the practices adopted for the replacement of polluting buses with electric-powered ones. A total of 62 documents were included in the final investigation, and their results were used to conduct a SWOT analysis. It is possible to conclude that BEBs are an important asset for cities to decarbonize the transport sector and that they are more cost-effective than diesel buses. On the other hand, some attention needs to be given to the generation of energy that will feed the charging of batteries because the use of fossil fuel energy sources can jeopardize the environmental benefits of BEBs.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Public Transport Decarbonization: An Exploratory Approach to Bus Electrification

Ribeiro,

Dias,

Mendes

2024

WEVJ

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“…Total energy-related GHG emissions in the EU−27 countries have fallen by 35.1% over three decades, but transport emissions are 3.0% higher than in 1990. In [30], the impact of uncertainties in the transport sector during the transition to a low-carbon energy system in the EU was analysed. The priority of decarbonising passenger transport and early deployment of electric vehicles were highlighted.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Key Drivers on Energy Intensity and GHG Emissions in Manufacturing in the Baltic States

et al. 2023

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The improvement in energy efficiency (EE) and increasing consumption of renewable energy sources (RES) in manufacturing play an important role in pursuing sustainable development in the Baltic States and contribute to the transition to a low-carbon economy. This paper presents the results of a detailed analysis of the channel through which EE, along with structural activity changes, passes energy intensity and total energy savings and in combination with other key drivers results in reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in manufacturing in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania during the period 2010–2020, taking into account the role of transformations in the energy and climate framework of the European Union (EU). The Fisher Ideal Index, the Kaya identity, the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), and comparative analysis methods are used. The results of the impact analysis of key drivers on energy intensity showed different contributions towards improvements in EE and structural activity changes to changes in energy intensity in manufacturing, which decreased by 53.1% in Estonia, by 30.5% in Lithuania, and by 16.5% in Latvia. The dominant role of EE improvements on total energy savings is identified. The results of the GHG decomposition analysis showed that because of improvements in energy intensity, reductions in the share of fossil fuels, and increases in labour productivity, number of employees, and emissions intensity, the GHG emissions decreased by 35.5% in Estonia, 40.4% in Latvia, and 8.1% in Lithuania. The results confirm the need for new policies and the implementation of relevant commitments to save energy and increase the contribution of RES in all three countries.

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“…To date, Hainan (located in the southern part of China) has been the pioneering province to announce a ban on the sale of ICEVs by 2030, and the schedule of the ban policy in other provinces is under hot discussion. − Therefore, discussing how to arrange an appropriate banning order at the provincial level has practical significance in the policy context of China. As electrification is a widely recognized pathway to replace ICEVs in the private vehicle sector in China, − the health cobenefits of provincial-level ban policies are mainly the trade-offs between two aspects: the health benefits contributed by the phasing-out of ICEVs and the health damage brought by the new sales of electric vehicles (EVs) to fulfill transportation needs. ,,, The former aspect (which results in the reduced use of gasoline or diesel) is well-understood, while the latter needs further explanation. The ban policy would lead to an increased number of EVs and a higher demand for electricity generation, − so there would be sectoral and regional transfers in the effect of the ban policy.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Incorporating Health Cobenefits into Province-Driven Climate Policy: A Case of Banning New Internal Combustion Engine Vehicle Sales in China

Shen

Chen²,

et al. 2023

Environ. Sci. Technol.

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Incorporating health cobenefits from coabated air pollution into carbon mitigation policy making is particularly important for developing countries to boost policy efficiency. For sectors that highly depend on electrification for decarbonization, it remains unclear how the increased electricity demand and consequent health impacts from sectoral mitigation policy in one province would change the scale and the regional and sectoral distributions of the overall health impacts in the whole country. This study chooses the banning of new sales of internal combustion engine vehicles in the private vehicle sector in China as a case. The results show that, without carbon neutrality and air pollution control goals in electricity generation, 53% of CO 2 reduction and 65% of health benefits from the private vehicle sector would be offset by increased electricity demand. The regional distributions of CO 2 reduction and health benefits due to a province-driven ban policy are greatly uneven, as the top five provinces take up over one-third of the total impact in China. Health benefits per ton of carbon reduction (H/C) may vary by up to 8 times across provinces. Finally, the provinces in southeast China and the Sichuan Basin, with their stably high H/C values, are suggested to enact the province-driven ban policy first.

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Incorporating uncertainties towards a sustainable European energy system: A stochastic approach for decarbonization paths focusing on the transport sector

Cited by 8 publications

References 22 publications

Public Transport Decarbonization: An Exploratory Approach to Bus Electrification

Public Transport Decarbonization: An Exploratory Approach to Bus Electrification

Impact of Key Drivers on Energy Intensity and GHG Emissions in Manufacturing in the Baltic States

Incorporating Health Cobenefits into Province-Driven Climate Policy: A Case of Banning New Internal Combustion Engine Vehicle Sales in China

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