2015
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1375-5
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Increasing frequency of extreme fire weather in Canada with climate change

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Cited by 172 publications
(118 citation statements)
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“…Fires in the interface will likely become even more of an issue 1 in the future for two main reasons: (1) increased fire activity due to climate change is predicted for most of Canada (Flannigan et al 2009;Wang et al 2015;Flannigan et al 2016); and (2) there will likely be more interface area due to changes in human land use (e.g. urban and rural sprawl, development of new industrial facilities, and increasing secondary home or cottage development) (Radeloff et al 2005;Bollman and Clemenson 2006;Peter et al 2006;Theobald and Romme 2007).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Fires in the interface will likely become even more of an issue 1 in the future for two main reasons: (1) increased fire activity due to climate change is predicted for most of Canada (Flannigan et al 2009;Wang et al 2015;Flannigan et al 2016); and (2) there will likely be more interface area due to changes in human land use (e.g. urban and rural sprawl, development of new industrial facilities, and increasing secondary home or cottage development) (Radeloff et al 2005;Bollman and Clemenson 2006;Peter et al 2006;Theobald and Romme 2007).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Studies of the spatial distribution of wildland fires in the past have highlighted that the frequency and size of fires in Canada have continuously increased over the last 50 years or so in response to the ongoing global warming (e.g., Kasischke and Turetsky, 2006;Hessl, 2011;Girardin and Terrier, 2015). Concerns are now being raised about the increasing frequency and severity of extreme climatic events with further warming, which could lead to an increasing concentration of numerous large fires in time and space (Wang et al, 2015). Given these observations and projections, there is growing concern about the capacity of the boreal forest to recover from disturbances (Bond et al, 2004;IPCC, 2013;Kurz et al, 2013;Rogers et al, 2013).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We do this by determining how much precipitation has to increase for every degree of warming to maintain the same fuel moisture code value. Additionally, we examine the frequency of extremes or frequency of exceeding a threshold in the fuel moisture as fire activity is driven by extreme fire weather (Wang et al 2015). For example, Podur and Wotton (2011) found that there was almost a 50 % probability of having a day of significant fire growth in the boreal forest region, given that a fire was spreading, occurred when the FFMC was above 92.6Lastly, we interpret the results in terms of future fuel moisture conditions based on temperature and precipitation changes from General Circulation Models (GCMs).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%