Initial approximation of the implications for architecture due to climate change

Abstract

This review paper organizes and summarizes the literature regarding climate change impacts on future building energy demand. The approaches used for the creation of future weather climate and building renovation scenarios, as well as building energy modeling at different scales, are evaluated. In general, it can be concluded that future heating demand could decrease (7-52%), while cooling demand could increase significantly (up to 1050%). The decrease/increase rates varied significantly depending on the climate and case study building(s) considered, with buildings and building energy systems located in extreme climates being more sensitive to such changes. The main uncertainty of the predicted increase/decrease rates can be assigned to climate models and forecasted weather data. Nonetheless, such forecast and risk assessment are necessary for sustainable development of urban environment and associated energy systems. Further development of dynamic large-scale building energy simulation tools is required, along with the development of large-scale building renovation measures and strategies that take into account additional aspects (such as economic and societal). Moreover, continuous efforts are required in further climate models' improvement and uncertainty reduction.

Strategy for achieving long-term energy efficiency of European single-family buildings through passive climate adaptation

“…An essential view of the problem was presented by Zhou et al [23], who highlighted that climate change has a geographically heterogeneous impact on the heating and cooling of buildings. Nevertheless, numerous studies have been conducted evaluating building energy performance against the projected future climate, and a consensus has been reached on the increase in cooling and a decrease in heating demand [24]. An example of such a study was presented by Flores-Larsen et al [25] in Argentina for residential buildings.…”

Collaborative Learning Experiences in a Changing Environment: Innovative Educational Approaches in Architecture

“…According to Andric et al [23], this provides evidence of the architectural implications of climate change. Implementing models for high-performance and environmentally responsible buildings emerges as an urgent issue for reducing the energy [23] and natural resource consumption along the building's entire life-cycle [24]. This approach frames a vision of ecological modernization based on advanced technical solutions and compelling "green" lifestyle narratives that often overlook the social dimension the topic involves [25,26].…”

“…Since housing absorbs about 18% of the total energy end-use in developed countries [20], the residential sector is a major source of CO 2 emissions [21,22]. According to Andric et al [23], this provides evidence of the architectural implications of climate change. Implementing models for high-performance and environmentally responsible buildings emerges as an urgent issue for reducing the energy [23] and natural resource consumption along the building's entire life-cycle [24].…”

Housing Indicators for Sustainable Cities in Middle-Income Countries through the Residential Urban Environment Recognized Using Single-Family Housing Rating Systems

“…[42]. This situation is most evident in the MICs, in which the need for the prioritization of these issues has been established in several previous studies [43][44][45][46][47][48].…”