This paper presents a novel theory for describing the initial stage of a single-surface multipactor discharge on a dielectric surface in the presence of a dc electric field, which returns secondary emitted electrons to the surface. The calculations employ a statistical method based on an exact analytical solution for the probability density of the arrival times of the secondary electrons. A general integral equation determining the steady-state distribution of the emission phases of the secondary electrons and the threshold of the multipactor growth is formulated. A computer program has been developed to implement this theory for realistic secondary yield curves and arbitrary, nonuniform, distributions for velocities and angles of emitted electrons. Susceptibility diagrams, applicable to a wide range of materials, are obtained in terms of the rf and dc electric fields and are found to be relatively independent of the emission distribution of the electrons.