Integrating future-oriented technology analysis and risk assessment methodologies

Koivisto, Raija; Wessberg, Nina; Eerola, Annele; Ahlqvist, Toni; Kivisaari, Sirkku; Myllyoja, Jouko; Halonen, Minna

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2009.07.012

Cited by 46 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…The INFU project combined various foresight methods such as literature analysis, weak signal scanning (Hiltunen, 2008), expert panels (Godet, 1991), development and assessment of visions (Ronis, 2007, Koivisto et al, 2009 and scenario development (Ringland, 1998) [1]. The project comprised four distinctive phases with different methodological approaches:…”

Section: The Innovation Futures Projectmentioning

confidence: 99%

New forms of innovation: critical issues for future pathways

Leitner

Warnke

Rhomberg

2016

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2016),"Futures of science with and for society: towards transformative policy orientations", foresight, Vol. 18 Iss 3 pp. 276-296 http://dx.Access to this document was granted through an Emerald subscription provided by emerald-srm:393177 [] For AuthorsIf you would like to write for this, or any other Emerald publication, then please use our Emerald for Authors service information about how to choose which publication to write for and submission guidelines are available for all. Please visit www.emeraldinsight.com/authors for more information. About Emerald www.emeraldinsight.comEmerald is a global publisher linking research and practice to the benefit of society. The company manages a portfolio of more than 290 journals and over 2,350 books and book series volumes, as well as providing an extensive range of online products and additional customer resources and services.Emerald is both COUNTER 4 and TRANSFER compliant. The organization is a partner of the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE) and also works with Portico and the LOCKSS initiative for digital archive preservation. Abstract Purpose -Although new forms of innovation such as open innovation, user innovation or crowdsourcing have been intensively discussed in the past decade, there is little systematic exploration of their wider positive and negative effects on economy, society and environment. Based on the recent debate in the literature and findings from a European foresight project, this paper aims to discuss the critical aspects of new forms of innovation such as increased participation, the use of information technologies and the increased pace of innovation and their challenges for innovation policy. Design/methodology/approach -Based on a collection of international practice examples from industry and society, innovation visions have been generated and assessed by different experts across whole Europe. Findings -A generic trend identified can be best described as open, distributed and networked innovation process. Although many new innovation models accelerate the innovation process, there are also some counter trends which in some fields may slow down the innovation process. In addition, the increased use of web-based tools, algorithms and information technologies raises new questions concerning the protection of intellectual property and data security. This reveals new questions for policymaking, which have not gained much attention on the European level so far.Originality/value -Although there is an established discourse around potentially negative impacts of the outcomes of the innovation processes notably in the field of technology assessment, innovation capacity is usually seen as a desirable characteristic of innovation systems. In this paper, the possible negative aspects of new innovation models, an issue hardly addressed in the innovation literature so far, are discussed.

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Section: The Innovation Futures Projectmentioning

confidence: 99%

New forms of innovation: critical issues for future pathways

Leitner

Warnke

Rhomberg

2016

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“…One strategy might be to seek to accompany FTA exercises with companion activities in which issue was taken with core assumptions, where alternative sources of expertise were mobilised, where dimensions of the system that were marginalised in the main work were highlighted. In addition to the general point about the need to integrate FTA and risk-assessment approaches (see [24]), two recent examples where a complementary approach was retroactively adopted come to mind:…”

Section: Conclusion: Posits About Ftamentioning

confidence: 99%

Methods and tools contributing to FTA: A knowledge-based perspective

Eerola

Miles²

2011

Futures

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“…Así mismo, Robinson y Propp (2008) examinan el estudio de la ciencia y la tecnología emergentes a través de metodologías de análi-sis tecnológico orientado al futuro (FTA por sus siglas en inglés) entre las cuales está el roadmapping, aplicado en la Red Europea de Investigación en Nanotecnología. Por otra parte, Koivisto et al (2009) proponen la integración de metodologías FTA, como el roadmaping, con herramientas de evaluación de riesgos en proyectos relacionados con infraestructura, creación de negocios y cambio climático. mas químicas y físicas para depositar su radioactividad en partes específicas del organismo con fines diagnóstico o en el tratamiento de enfermedades como el cáncer.…”

Section: Valoración De Capacidades Tecnológicasunclassified

El Valor de la Tecnología: Enfoques Novedosos para su Determinación

Jiménez

Castellanos

2013

Journal of Technology Management & Innovation

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Traditionally, Technology valuation has been applied with the financial focus of Project management, focusing on the economical dimension. However, several authors have detected problems in this approach and propose the inclusion of qualitative aspects of technology. The aim of this paper is to identify alternative proposals for estimating the value of technology. A scientometric study was carried out and as a result, novel works were identified, like the use of roadmapping, econometrics and neural networks in technology valuation. We conclude that different approaches exist, but, in general, aspects as the knowledge embodied in technology are not taken into account, with a reductionist and linear view of the valuation process and the technology itself. We formulate some considerations on an approach of technology valuation from biology, as an alternative approximation from the organicistic view, in order to add attributes like dynamicity and adaptation.Keywords: technology valuation; technological capabilities; alternatives of technology valuation; hard and soft technology.Tradicionalmente la valoración tecnológica se ha abordado con un enfoque financiero de gestión de proyectos, centrándose en la dimensión económica. Sin embargo, diversos autores han detectado falencias en esta aproximación, proponiendo incluir aspectos cualitativos de la tecnología. El objetivo de este artículo es identificar propuestas alternativas a las tradicionales para determinar el valor de la tecnología. Se hizo un análisis cienciométrico, y como resultado se identificaron trabajos novedosos como la aplicación de roadmapping, econometría y redes neuronales en procesos de valoración. Se concluye que, si bien se han planteado aproximaciones diferentes, en general se desconocen aspectos como el conocimiento embebido en la tecnología, con una visión reduccionista y lineal del proceso de valoración y de la propia tecnología. Se plantean consideraciones sobre un abordaje de la valoración desde la biología, como enfoque alternativo a partir de la visión organicista, agregando al proceso atributos como la dinamicidad y la adaptación.

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Integrating future-oriented technology analysis and risk assessment methodologies

Cited by 46 publications

References 6 publications

New forms of innovation: critical issues for future pathways

New forms of innovation: critical issues for future pathways

Methods and tools contributing to FTA: A knowledge-based perspective

El Valor de la Tecnología: Enfoques Novedosos para su Determinación

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