Integrating Vegetation Indices Models and Phenological Classification with Composite SAR and Optical Data for Cereal Yield Estimation in Finland (Part I)
Abstract:During 1996-2006 the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry in Finland, MTT Agrifood Research Finland and the Finnish Geodetic Institute carried out a joint remote sensing satellite research project. It evaluated the applicability of composite multispectral SAR and optical satellite data for cereal yield estimations in the annual crop inventory program. Three Vegetation Indices models (VGI, Infrared polynomial, NDVI and Composite multispectral SAR and NDVI) were validated to estimate cereal yield levels using so… Show more
“…The System Analysis overview is reviewed in a recent publication by Laurila et al [37] and in [38][39][40][41]. Respectively, the Integrated LAI-bridge coupling mechanism applied in this publication is depicted in Figure 1 [19,21] between phenologically pre-classified optical data (GEMI model III, Table 1) and dynamic crop model (Model V, CropWatN, [29,31] -ap, bp, cp, dp classes correspond on average to Zadoks crop phenological growth scale with cereals:…”
“…Composite multispectral SAR/ASAR and NDVI model for spring cereals (swh, oats, barley) using NDVI reflectance and microwave backscattering (σ 0 , f = 5.4 GHz) data (Table 12, [37]). Used only in validation of the optical VGI models 6) 1) Equations applied after REG/Stepwise for linear models (Equation 1, Table 10, Appendix B [51,52]) and RSREG for polynomial non-linear models (Equation 2, Table 10, Appendix B) 2) Independent variables classified with SatPhenClass-algorithm.…”
Section: VImentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In a recent publication by Laurila et al [37], spring cereal yield modeling results were presented for Finnish high latitude growing conditions using multispectral composite SAR backscattering and NDVI data (Composite Minimum Dataset). Cereal maximum yield capacity is limited by environmental (e.g., drought periods) and vegetation stresses (e.g., nutrient deficiencies, pathogen epidemics) during growing season.…”
Optical VGI yield estimates were validated with CropWatN crop model yield estimates using SPOT and NOAA data (mean R 2 0.71, RMSE 436 kg/ha) and with composite SAR/ASAR and NDVI models (mean R 2 0.61, RMSE 402 kg/ha) using both reflectance and backscattering data. CropWatN and Composite SAR/ASAR & NDVI model mean yields were 4,754/4,170 kg/ha for wheat, 4,192/3,848 kg/ha for barley and 4,992/2,935 kg/ha for oats.
“…The System Analysis overview is reviewed in a recent publication by Laurila et al [37] and in [38][39][40][41]. Respectively, the Integrated LAI-bridge coupling mechanism applied in this publication is depicted in Figure 1 [19,21] between phenologically pre-classified optical data (GEMI model III, Table 1) and dynamic crop model (Model V, CropWatN, [29,31] -ap, bp, cp, dp classes correspond on average to Zadoks crop phenological growth scale with cereals:…”
“…Composite multispectral SAR/ASAR and NDVI model for spring cereals (swh, oats, barley) using NDVI reflectance and microwave backscattering (σ 0 , f = 5.4 GHz) data (Table 12, [37]). Used only in validation of the optical VGI models 6) 1) Equations applied after REG/Stepwise for linear models (Equation 1, Table 10, Appendix B [51,52]) and RSREG for polynomial non-linear models (Equation 2, Table 10, Appendix B) 2) Independent variables classified with SatPhenClass-algorithm.…”
Section: VImentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In a recent publication by Laurila et al [37], spring cereal yield modeling results were presented for Finnish high latitude growing conditions using multispectral composite SAR backscattering and NDVI data (Composite Minimum Dataset). Cereal maximum yield capacity is limited by environmental (e.g., drought periods) and vegetation stresses (e.g., nutrient deficiencies, pathogen epidemics) during growing season.…”
Optical VGI yield estimates were validated with CropWatN crop model yield estimates using SPOT and NOAA data (mean R 2 0.71, RMSE 436 kg/ha) and with composite SAR/ASAR and NDVI models (mean R 2 0.61, RMSE 402 kg/ha) using both reflectance and backscattering data. CropWatN and Composite SAR/ASAR & NDVI model mean yields were 4,754/4,170 kg/ha for wheat, 4,192/3,848 kg/ha for barley and 4,992/2,935 kg/ha for oats.
“…Dataset III provided the baseline yield (y b kg ha -1 ) estimates for HiL and MidE spring wheat cultivars using the Finnish agricultural remote sensing large area results in 1996−2006 (Laurila et al 2010a(Laurila et al , 2010b. Experimental sites were located in southern Finland and in Etelä-Pohjanmaa Agricultural Advisory Centre in growing zones I−IV.…”
In this study Mixed structural covariance, Path and Cultivation Value analyses and the CERES-Wheat crop model were used to evaluate vegetation and yield component variation affecting yield potential between different highlatitude (> 60° N lat.) and mid-European (< 60° N lat.) spring wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) genotypes currently cultivated in southern Finland. Path modeling results from this study suggest that especially grains/ear, harvest index (HI) and maximum 1000 kernel weight were significant factors defining the highest yield potential. Mixed and Cultivation value modeling results suggest that when compared with genotypes introduced for cultivation before 1990s, modern spring wheat genotypes have a significantly higher yielding capacity, current high yielding midEuropean genotypes even exceeding the 5 t ha -1 non-potential baseline yield level (y b ). Because of a forthcoming climate change, the new high yielding wheat genotypes have to adapt for elevated temperatures and atmospheric CO 2 growing conditions in northern latitudes. The optimized ideotype profiles derived from the generic high-latitude and mid-European genotypes are presented in the results. High-latitude and mid-European ideotype profiles with factors estimating the effects of concurrent elevated CO 2 and temperature levels with photoperiodical daylength effects can be utilized when designing future high yielding ideotypes adapted to future growing conditions. The CERES-Wheat ideotype modeling results imply, that with new high yielding mid-European ideotypes, the non-potential baseline yield (y b ) would be on average 5150 kg ha -1 level (+ 108 %) vs. new high-latitude ideotypes (y b 4770 kg ha -1 , 100%) grown under the elevated CO 2(700ppm) ×temperature (+3°C) growing conditions projected by the year 2100 climate change scenario in southern Finland.
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