Kenya: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security

Breisinger, Clemens; Diao, Xinshen; Dorosh, Paul A.; Mbuthia, Juneweenex; Omune, Lensa; Oseko, Edwin Ombui; Pradesha, Angga; Smart, Jenny; Thurlow, James

doi:10.2499/p15738coll2.135942

Cited by 7 publications

(8 citation statements)

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“…The Russia-Ukraine crisis has impacted poor and rural households due to fuel, food, and fertilizer price hikes. Countries such as Kenya (Breisinger et al, 2022), Egypt (Abay et al, 2022), Bangladesh (Diao et al, 2022b), and Ethiopia (Diao et al, 2022a) have witnessed declines in food consumption and diet quality. The increase in fertilizer prices also caused a heavy toll on local farmers in these countries, whose livelihoods depend on agriculture.…”

Section: Livelihood Struggle Among the Rural Poormentioning

confidence: 99%

Diversifying agrifood systems to ensure global food security following the Russia–Ukraine crisis

Neik

Siddique

Mayes

et al. 2023

Front. Sustain. Food Syst.

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The recent Russia–Ukraine conflict has raised significant concerns about global food security, leaving many countries with restricted access to imported staple food crops, particularly wheat and sunflower oil, sending food prices soaring with other adverse consequences in the food supply chain. This detrimental effect is particularly prominent for low-income countries relying on grain imports, with record-high food prices and inflation affecting their livelihoods. This review discusses the role of Russia and Ukraine in the global food system and the impact of the Russia–Ukraine conflict on food security. It also highlights how diversifying four areas of agrifood systems—markets, production, crops, and technology can contribute to achieving food supply chain resilience for future food security and sustainability.

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Section: Livelihood Struggle Among the Rural Poormentioning

confidence: 99%

Diversifying agrifood systems to ensure global food security following the Russia–Ukraine crisis

Neik

Siddique

Mayes

et al. 2023

Front. Sustain. Food Syst.

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“…Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on African Agriculture, Trade, Poverty, and Food Systems Source: Author's construction with data from Abay et al 2022;Andam et al 2022;Sall 2022a, 2022b;Breisinger et al 2022;Diao et al 2022aand Chapoto et al 2022.…”

Section: Poverty and The Cost Of A Healthy Dietmentioning

confidence: 99%

2023 Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor (AATM)

Odjo¹,

Traoré²,

Zaki³

2023

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“…Over 3.1 million Kenyans faced acute food shortages in 2022, following a third consecutive below-average rainy season that led to deteriorating food security outcomes driven by the impacts of poor crop and livestock production, resource-based conflict, livestock disease and mortality, and the COVID-19 pandemic [13]. The sector's capacity to address food security has also been weakened by the disruption of agricultural supply chains and markets caused by the global financial and economic crisis [1,14].…”

Section: The Complex Case Of Food Insecuritymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Ukraine war occurred when the country was already grappling with the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the desert locust invasion exacerbated the situation further, resulting in record high food prices due to shortages, and pushing millions more people into severe poverty and hunger. Years of development progress were undone, with food prices reaching all-time highs due to conflict in Ukraine, supply-chain disruptions, and the ongoing economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic [1].…”

Section: The Complex Case Of Food Insecuritymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…There is no denying that the climate is changing, and fragmented areas with strained economies and coping mechanisms are most affected. The rising frequency and intensity of precipitation variations, heat waves, droughts and floods have all served as catalysts to rethink and re-evaluate climate adaptation investments, decisions and priorities [1][2][3]. The Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has reported the alarming increase in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions over the years, with agricultural production and its effects on land use contributing to these detrimental increases [4,5].…”

Section: Introduction 1backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

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A Forward Future-Based Approach to Optimizing Agriculture and Climate Change Adaptation in Lower Eastern Kenya

Ndungu

Kiema

Siriba

et al. 2022

Land

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Kenya’s vulnerability to climate variability and change has been compounded by dependence on rain-fed agriculture with constrained capacity to adapt, a rapidly growing population, low-mechanized and low-input smallholder agricultural systems, and compromised soil fertility. The Ukraine war, COVID-19 and the desert locust invasion have only amplified the prevailing sensitivity to shocks in the agriculture sector, creating an emphasis on the need to strengthen local agricultural production to reduce reliance on imports. This paper seeks to assess the opportunities for improving agriculture adaptation and resilience based on future expected changes in climate, length of the growing period and agro-ecologies. The study uses 2020 as the baseline year and explores changes in agro-ecological zones (AEZs) in “near future” 2040 through two representative concentration pathways, 4.5 and 8.5, representing a medium carbon emissions and a dire emissions future, respectively. Google Earth Engine and R Statistics are used in data-processing. Down-scaled climate projections from CIMP5 are used for future analyses combined with static soil suitability and drainage data. Fuzzy logic is used to normalize inputs and compute the agro-ecological zones (AEZ). Interesting results emerge from the study that validate the hypothesis that the seasons and production potential are shifting. Lowland drylands will experience an increasingly long growing period, creating the potential for diversifying production systems from rangelands to agro-pastoral systems, with the capacity to grow more drought-resistant crops and the potential to take advantage of increased runoff for water harvesting. Midland highland areas, which form part of the food basket areas, have already started experiencing a reduction in the length of the growing period and agricultural potential. In these areas, resilience mechanisms will need to consider the expected future reduction in rain-fed agricultural potential, gendered preferences, convergence of technology and indigenous coping mechanisms, and drought-resilience-focused diversification.

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Kenya: Impacts of the Ukraine and global crises on poverty and food security

Cited by 7 publications

References 0 publications

Diversifying agrifood systems to ensure global food security following the Russia–Ukraine crisis

Diversifying agrifood systems to ensure global food security following the Russia–Ukraine crisis

2023 Africa Agriculture Trade Monitor (AATM)

A Forward Future-Based Approach to Optimizing Agriculture and Climate Change Adaptation in Lower Eastern Kenya

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