2003
DOI: 10.1093/0199269556.001.0001
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Knowledge and Lotteries

Abstract: This book is organised around an epistemological puzzle, which consists of a tension between various ordinary claims to know and our apparent incapacity to know whether or not someone will lose a lottery. In its starkest form, the puzzle is this: we do not think we know that a given lottery ticket will be a loser, yet we normally count ourselves as knowing all sorts of ordinary things which entail that its holder will not suddenly acquire a large fortune. The author explores various potential solutions to this… Show more

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Cited by 730 publications
(842 citation statements)
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References 66 publications
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“…You will not inquire further about how the child came by that information-whether by dumb luck or from an informant that normally lies-even if you have reason to suspect such an unreliable source.) (Hawthorne [2003], pp. 68-9)…”
Section: The Upper-right Quadrantmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…You will not inquire further about how the child came by that information-whether by dumb luck or from an informant that normally lies-even if you have reason to suspect such an unreliable source.) (Hawthorne [2003], pp. 68-9)…”
Section: The Upper-right Quadrantmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This fact about the above example provides problems for so-called Subject-Sensitive Invariantist accounts of knowledge. See, for instance, Fantl and McGrath (2002); Hawthorne (2004);Stanley (2005). 4 Cf.…”
Section: What Is Epistemic Contextualism?mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…See McGlynn 2011: §1 for details and defence. 24 I think a parallel point could be argued concerning the lottery variants discussed in Vogel 1990 andHawthorne 2004. Smith anticipates this worry, and argues that these lottery variants are actually unlike lottery cases and cases such as Smith's belief that the computer background is blue (2010: 21-2).…”
Section: Normical Support Degrees Of Justification and Gettier Casesmentioning
confidence: 99%