Kommunen und demografischer Wandel in Deutschland — regionale Muster

Köppen, Bernhard

doi:10.1007/978-3-531-91111-3_11

Cited by 5 publications

(1 citation statement)

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“…It experienced a significant enrolment decline, and many primary school closures, including reasonably many cases in which the only local school was closed, and its mixed settlement structure is more typical of other German states than Mecklenburg‐Vorpommern, for instance (another state with large population decline). The caveat of historic specificity (Köppen, , 271) notwithstanding, Saxony may be indicative of what to expect elsewhere in Germany, given the school population is throughout the country forecast to decline at least 15–25% during 2005–2025. Fortuitously, Saxony has among the best availability of local‐level data.…”

Section: School Network and Population Dynamics In Saxonymentioning

confidence: 99%

A ‘Recipe for Depopulation’? School Closures and Local Population Decline in Saxony

Barakat

2014

Population Space and Place

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A popular notion asserts that closing the last primary school marks a community's demographic death. No young parents will remain, much less new ones move in. This notion is frequently voiced but rarely verified. Are school closures a cause or consequence of local decline? This study reviews existing research on school locations and peripheral population decline to show that expectations of a dramatic impact of school closures on out-migration are theoretically ill-founded. I proceed to discuss specific methodological challenges in the empirical analysis of this relationship, and conduct a statistical analysis for the province of Saxony in East Germany for the period 1994-2007. In contrast to the prevailing discourse, there is little evidence of an appreciable effect of primary school closures on local population decline. This negative finding is discussed in light of local contextual factors and general insights from population geography.

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Section: School Network and Population Dynamics In Saxonymentioning

confidence: 99%