L'(in)décision électorale et la temporalité du vote

Abstract

Résumé Cet article propose une analyse de l’(in)décision électorale dans le contexte de l’élection présidentielle de 2007. Une réflexion théorique et méthodologique sur la mesure de l’indécision électorale est tout d’abord proposée car le concept peut recouvrir plusieurs sens : absence de fermeté de l’intention de vote, cristallisation tardive du choix, arbitrages entre divers possibles. Nous mesurons ici l’(in)décision par le moment du choix ; puis nous distinguons trois types : les « convaincus » de longue date, les récemment « conquis » et enfin les « circonspects » tardifs. Nous utilisons les données du Panel électoral français de 2007 réalisé par le Cevipof pour dresser le portrait de ces trois types d’électeurs.

Exploring Conspiracist Populism in Power: The Case of Kais Saied in Tunisia

“…In light of this, how can Saied's political experience, merging technocratic, populist, and then authoritarian features, be described? In the aftermath of the election of the Tunisian president, Michel Camau maintained that his political experience might be described as a form of populist constitutionalism, intended as a political posture prioritising the belief that constitutional law should promote rather than limit majority rule and broaden political participation (Camau 2020). As a matter of fact, Kais Saied has always criticised the 2014 Tunisian constitution-as he thought it was designed more for serving the power than for fulfilling the needs of the majority of the population-as well as the form of semi-presidential form of government, hence putting forward the idea of abolishing direct legislative elections and replacing them with local administrative districts with elected representatives (Gobe 2022).…”

A indecisão consciente: análise qualitativa da indecisão eleitoral no pleito estadual de 2014

“…Para Cautrès e Jadot (2007), os estudos acadêmicos sobre indecisão em geral enfocam três aspectos: perfis demográficos e socioeconômicos, quando correlacionam desigualdade e decisão eleitoral; níveis de politização e tomadas de posição de longo prazo, num espaço com importante formação ideológica e partidária; o ambiente informacional das campanhas (Maakaroun, 2010); e as atitudes políticas de curto prazo, que vinculam comportamentos de indecisão aos quadros conjunturais de evolução das ofertas eleitorais. De toda sorte, a indecisão é sempre definida como algum tipo de hesitação (Cautrès;Jadot, 2007;Muxel, 2006).…”