2014
DOI: 10.1007/s10980-014-0116-x
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Land-use change arising from rural land exchange: an agent-based simulation model

Abstract: Introduction Land exchange can be a major factor driving land-use change in regions with high pressure on land, but is generally not incorporated in land-use change models. Here we present an agent-based model to simulate land-use change arising from land exchange between multiple agent types representing farmers, nature organizations, and estate owners. Methods The RULEX model (Rural Land EXchange) was calibrated and applied to a 300 km 2 case study area in the east of the Netherlands. Decision rules about wh… Show more

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Cited by 54 publications
(34 citation statements)
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“…Rigorous discussion or application of validation procedures is not uncommon, 36,54,55,68,106 but has not led to consistency of practice or development of methodology. In the models we reviewed, five main approaches to model validation or evaluation were apparent: checking modeled behavior against actors' stated or revealed behavior 36,50,53,54,57,67,68,87 (comparisons of the stated and revealed behavior 25 were not used); extensive sensitivity analyses; 36,39 comparison (or tuning to ensure agreement) of some modeled and measured outcomes; 37,39,50,54,56,60,70,77,84,85 comparison to the results of other models; 88 and reliance on previous validation of the same or a similar model 64,71,74,82,84 (Figure 2). Justification of the (usually single) selected approach is rare, as is discussion of implications for model usage and interpretation.…”
Section: Validation and Uncertaintymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Rigorous discussion or application of validation procedures is not uncommon, 36,54,55,68,106 but has not led to consistency of practice or development of methodology. In the models we reviewed, five main approaches to model validation or evaluation were apparent: checking modeled behavior against actors' stated or revealed behavior 36,50,53,54,57,67,68,87 (comparisons of the stated and revealed behavior 25 were not used); extensive sensitivity analyses; 36,39 comparison (or tuning to ensure agreement) of some modeled and measured outcomes; 37,39,50,54,56,60,70,77,84,85 comparison to the results of other models; 88 and reliance on previous validation of the same or a similar model 64,71,74,82,84 (Figure 2). Justification of the (usually single) selected approach is rare, as is discussion of implications for model usage and interpretation.…”
Section: Validation and Uncertaintymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, quantified relationships between distance and WTP are also needed by spatially-explicit agent-based models that simulate land transactions based on individual farmer decisions. Such models are increasingly used to simulate land markets Bakker et al, 2014;Bert et al, 2010;Schouten et al, 2012), but all use crude assumptions on the relationship between WTP and distance between parcel and owner.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is strongly empirically-grounded and has been calibrated on observations from the study area for Bakker et al (2014). Here we give a brief overview.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%