2005
DOI: 10.2514/1.15242
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Langrangian Delay Predictive Model for Sector-Based Air Traffic Flow

Abstract: A control theoretical model of sector-based air traffic flow is derived using hybrid automata theory. This model is Lagrangian, because it models the properties of the system along its trajectories. A subset of this model is used to generate analytic predictions of air traffic congestion: A dynamic sector capacity is defined and derived that is used for predicting the time it takes to overload a given portion of airspace. This result links the Lagrangian approach with Eulerian models, which account for tempora… Show more

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Cited by 62 publications
(35 citation statements)
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“…Given the monitoring accuracy in the current system, it has been shown previously that kinematic equations are sufficiently predictive of high altitude traffic (see [48] and the references therein), which makes (7) an accurate enough model of the relative motion of two aircraft. The main task of Air Traffic Controllers is to prevent losses of separation: To keep the aircraft separated by more than five nautical miles.…”
Section: B the Collision Avoidance Differential Gamementioning
confidence: 98%
“…Given the monitoring accuracy in the current system, it has been shown previously that kinematic equations are sufficiently predictive of high altitude traffic (see [48] and the references therein), which makes (7) an accurate enough model of the relative motion of two aircraft. The main task of Air Traffic Controllers is to prevent losses of separation: To keep the aircraft separated by more than five nautical miles.…”
Section: B the Collision Avoidance Differential Gamementioning
confidence: 98%
“…In addition Lagrangian models have been used to predict sector capacities allowing them to be put into the framework of Eulerian models. Key progress in this area has been in improved differential models of air traffic flow, improved hybrid state estimation and the creation of application specific polynomial time algorithms that can be used in lieu of integer programming [6,22,36,45]. Instead of predicting the path of individual aircraft, Eulerian and aggregate flow models predict flow patterns in the airspace [7,13,32].…”
Section: Traditional Air Traffic Management Approachesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Lagrangian models for air traffic flow management involve computing the trajectories of individual aircraft [6,28]. These models can be used for a range of problems, from collision avoidance to congestion reduction.…”
Section: Traditional Air Traffic Management Approachesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There are several examples of such aircraft-by-aircraft level models for the TFM problem (TFMP) and related problems. 1,2 Other models attempt to capture the dynamics of the system through aggregation of flights. 3,4 The main reason for aggregating flights into flows is to make the problem computationally tractable.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%