Les nouveaux enjeux pétroliers de la zone saharienne

Augé, Benjamin

doi:10.3917/her.142.0183

Cited by 6 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…Oil was discovered in Chad in the 1970s, but its exploitation was long delayed due to the various expressions of civil war in the country, which discouraged its exploration and use (FMI, 2016). It was in 2003 that Chad achieved the status of a producing country, with average production of 200,000 barrels/day in the southern region of the Doba basin (Augé, 2011). Crude oil production peaked in 2004 at 225,000 barrels/day, putting Chad on a par with oil-producing countries such as Sudan, Gabon and Congo (Massuyeau and Dorbeau-Falchier, 2005).…”

Section: Brief Overview Of the Chadian Oil Sectormentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Crude oil production peaked in 2004 at 225,000 barrels/day, putting Chad on a par with oil-producing countries such as Sudan, Gabon and Congo (Massuyeau and Dorbeau-Falchier, 2005). The installation of a pipeline over a thousand kilometres long has enabled crude oil to be exported to the south of Cameroon (Augé, 2011). To meet the demand for PP, the Chadian government is going to refine part of its crude oil production.…”

Section: Brief Overview Of the Chadian Oil Sectormentioning

confidence: 99%

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Forecasting Petroleum Products Consumption in the Chadian Road Transport Sector using Optimised Grey Models

Acyl,

Sapnken,

Jeutsa

et al. 2024

IJEEP

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This study aims to estimate the demand for petroleum products (PP) in the Chadian road sector by 2030 and to determine which of the two models used is the most efficient. The methodology is based on two optimised Grey models, namely: the Sequential-GM(1,N)-GA and NeuralODE-GM(1,1) models. These models reduce forecasting errors compared with the conventional Grey model. The forecasts confirm that both models are robust, with MAPEs of 1.16% and 2.5% respectively for gasoline and diesel obtained with the Sequential-GM(1,N)-GA, and 3.3% and 4.8% respectively for gasoline and diesel obtained with the NeuralODE-GM(1,1). We note that the Sequential-GM(1,N)-GA is more robust than NeuralODE-GM(1,1) with regard to MAPEs. The estimated consumption needs for gasoline and diesel in the road transport sector by 2030 are 294376818.5 and 381570061.5 litres respectively for the Sequential-GM(1,N)-GA and 264376818.5 and 375570061.5 litres for the NeuralODE-GM(1,1). Based on these results, securing the supply of PP in the road transport sector requires the development of the downstream petroleum sector. The development of alternative energies and the acquisition of hybrid vehicles. A policy encouraging mass transport in urban areas can considerably reduce energy consumption in this sector. This study adds to the literature through the simultaneous use of two new optimised grey models and their comparison in terms of predicting demand for PP in the Chadian road transport sector.

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Section: Brief Overview Of the Chadian Oil Sectormentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Brief Overview Of the Chadian Oil Sectormentioning

confidence: 99%

Forecasting Petroleum Products Consumption in the Chadian Road Transport Sector using Optimised Grey Models

Acyl,

Sapnken,

Jeutsa

et al. 2024

IJEEP

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“…Due to its harsh environment and landlocked position, Niger has seen little oil-exploration activity (Augé 2011). The first oil explorations in Niger started as early as 1958 -while it was still a French colony -following the discovery of oil in neighbouring Algeria in 1956.…”

Section: Pre-oil Nigermentioning

confidence: 99%

Crude Moves: Oil, Power, and Politics in Niger

Schritt¹,

Schareika

2018

Africa Spectrum

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In this article, we analyse the political and social process through which Niger has emerged as a new oil state since 2008. Instead of viewing the situation as a clear-cut resource-curse scenario, we see oil as an important, but by no means determining factor in the country's current political workings. Analysing the main features and narratives of the Nigerien political game in this time of incipient oil production, we first of all observe how various political actors, including the government, political parties, civil society, and wealthy businesspeople, transform oil into a political resource by developing particular notions, images, and meanings of it, including scenarios of a resource curse or resource blessing. We thus argue that in the formative moment of Niger becoming a new oil state, oil appears as an idiom within which Niger's current political and social processes are framed.

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“…In June 2008, the Tandja government had signed a contract with China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) to produce oil from the Agadem block in the Eastern Rift Basin and to build a refinery near Zinder (see figure 1). Like other Sahel-Saharan countries, despite evidence to suggest significant reserves, with its land-locked position and harsh environment limiting profitability, Niger had long remained underexplored in the quest for new oil reserves (Augé 2011). From 1958 onward, inspired by major discoveries in neighboring Algeria two years previous, primarily French and American oil companies had been exploring for oil in Niger.…”

Section: Oil-age Nigermentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Yergin 1991), but has rather been characterized by oil companies delaying the discovery of untapped oil reserves (Mitchell 2011). This is especially true for the landlocked Sahel-Saharan countries like Niger, which remain underexplored today (Augé 2011).…”

Section: Assembling Economics -Building Linkagesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Petro-Democracy

Jannik¹

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In 2008, Niger signed an oil contract with China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) over the Agadem oil block located in the far eastern region of Diffa; and in 2011, they inaugurated the country's first and only oil refinery near Zinder, the second biggest city, situated in the country's south-east. While the inauguration had been planned as a major celebration to mark the coming of oil, it soon became a highly contested political event. That day, with new President Mahamadou Issoufou coming from the capital Niamey (located in the west of the country) to Zinder to mark the occasion, youths set alight tire street barricades and clashed with police. The protests turned into violent riots some days later with youth clashing with security forces in the streets, burning down a police station and looting a bank. Two people were killed and several were injured.Using in-depth ethnographic material collected over 13 months of fieldwork from 2011 to 2014 within the methodological framework of the extended case method, the book takes the event of the oil refinery's inauguration as point of departure. Based on the tradition of the Manchester School, but reformulated in light of contemporary social theory, the extended case method is used to extend out from the ethnographic description of the inauguration to the historical processes and structural conditions that made the celebration and contestation possible in the first place: first, to the colonial and postcolonial entanglements in the quest for Niger's natural resources, and then to political conflicts that were played out on the public political stage after the signing of the oil contract in 2008. The main section of the book then focuses on the political arena that formed in Zinder around the inauguration. It shows the political work that turned the opening ceremony into a highly contested event and thereby contributed to making oil into a social and political reality, reconstructing social and political difference and reinforcing patterns of domination. In the next step, abstracting from the ethnographic material, the historically sedimented patterns of domination in Nigerien politics and society are analyzed and placed in relation to the politics of the oil infrastructure. Doing so enables an understanding of how the spatial dispersion of the petro-infrastructure in Niger over different administrative regions produced and connected different publics. Furthermore, it makes visible how local historical narratives of repression and marginalization were stitched together to reconfigure collective identities. Finally, the transformation of Niger into an oil state is analyzed, mainly focusing on the period from the beginning of oil production in 2011 until the time of writing in 2018, to understand how entanglements of Western and Chinese economic, political and military forces shape such a development. The empirical findings are then used to theorize on the significatory, temporal, material, and spatial dimensions of an oil state in the making, arguing that oil acts as...

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Les nouveaux enjeux pétroliers de la zone saharienne

Cited by 6 publications

References 2 publications

Forecasting Petroleum Products Consumption in the Chadian Road Transport Sector using Optimised Grey Models

Forecasting Petroleum Products Consumption in the Chadian Road Transport Sector using Optimised Grey Models

Crude Moves: Oil, Power, and Politics in Niger

Petro-Democracy

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