Long-term earthquake prediction in western Anatolia with the time- and magnitude-predictable model

Sayıl, Nilgün

doi:10.1007/s11069-012-0532-7

Cited by 7 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 43 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…The relation with increasing slope between Mp and logT, (c = 0.19) and the relation with decreasing slope between Mp and Mf (C= -0.14) were tried by many researchers [11,19,24,[38][39][40]. An increased slope between Mp and logT means that a larger earthquake needs a longer period of repetition.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Applicability of Time-Dependent Seismicity Model for Earthquake Occurrence Along the North Anatolian Fault Zone

Sayıl¹

2019

Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and Technology a - Applied Sciences and Engineering

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The applicability of the time-dependent seismicity model was investigated for earthquakes occurrence along the North Anatolian Fault Zone. This region was separated into thirteen seismogenic zones by virtue of specific seismological and geomorphological criteria, and RTIMAP (regional time and magnitude predictable) model was applied for these zones. The data including in both instrumental period (Ms  5.5) until the beginning of 2016 and historical period (Io  9.0 corresponding to Ms  7.0) before 1900 have been used in the study. Interevent times and magnitudes of mainshocks generated in each zone have predictive properties expressed by the RTIMAP. For the region considered, the relationship with increasing slope between the time interval of the events and the magnitude of the preceding earthquake shows that this model is suitable. On the basis of these equations and taking into account the formation time and magnitude of the last events in each zone, probabilities to the next main shocks in five decades and the magnitudes of the next events were estimated.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The instrumental (MS  5.5) up to end of 2015 and historical data (I0  9.0 corresponding to MS  7.0) before 1900 (sources given in [24]) have been used in the analysis. Magnitudes in this catalogue are presented in different scales (Ms, mb, Mw, ML and Md).…”

Section: The Applicability Of the Rtimap Model In The Nafzmentioning

confidence: 99%

Applicability of Time-Dependent Seismicity Model for Earthquake Occurrence Along the North Anatolian Fault Zone

Sayıl¹

2019

Eskişehir Technical University Journal of Science and Technology a - Applied Sciences and Engineering

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…[1][2][3][4][5]. Many researchers also investigated the seismic activity, tectonism and stress field around the Aegean Sea and Western Anatolia [6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15]. In Western Anatolia, grabens extending in the E-W direction are limited by normal faults, and the current deformation and related seismicity in the region are controlled by active faults.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

DEUNET (Dokuz Eylul University Seismological Observation Network): Seismicity of Izmir and Its Surroundings with A New Local Seismic Network in Western Anatolia

Gök,

Kalkar,

Kurtulmuş

et al. 2024

DEUFMD

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Local and regional networks are needed to better examine the regions with complex tectonism, such as western Anatolia. Local seismic networks may provide critical data to both scientists and local authorities. They are also required as a base for future early warning systems which Izmir, the largest city in the western Anatolia, does not have one. With the support of Dokuz Eylul University, Engineering Faculty and the Department of Geophysical Engineering the installation of a new local network DEUNET established on February 15, 2019, to obtain new and detailed information about Izmir and its surroundings by observing microearthquake activity as well as major and damaging earthquakes in the region. The obtained maps indicate that the network in this period has the capability to detect and locate local, regional and teleseismic earthquakes occurred. According to the results, an intense seismic activity was observed in the northeast and southwest of the station network from its establishment to the present. These recent active areas affected by two large earthquakes which one is called Aegean Sea – Samos earthquake and the other is Manisa earthquake occurred and affected Izmir City and its surroundings. We also examined the focal mechanism solutions of some recorded earthquakes in this paper. In addition, the ground characteristics of the station locations were examined using the recorded earthquakes. Since Dokuz Eylul University is the only university in Western Anatolia that offers seismology education, this network will also provide significant benefits for seismology education.

show abstract

Application of time- and magnitude-predictable model for long-term earthquake prediction in Iran

et al. 2015

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Long-term earthquake prediction in western Anatolia with the time- and magnitude-predictable model

Cited by 7 publications

References 43 publications

Applicability of Time-Dependent Seismicity Model for Earthquake Occurrence Along the North Anatolian Fault Zone

Applicability of Time-Dependent Seismicity Model for Earthquake Occurrence Along the North Anatolian Fault Zone

DEUNET (Dokuz Eylul University Seismological Observation Network): Seismicity of Izmir and Its Surroundings with A New Local Seismic Network in Western Anatolia

Application of time- and magnitude-predictable model for long-term earthquake prediction in Iran

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About