Long-term solar activity and terrestrial connections. Part II: at the beckon of the sun?

Abstract

Abstract. The research task described herein aims at the structuring of an analytical tool that traces the time course of geophysical phenomena, regional or global, and compares it to the course of long-term solar conditions, long-term meaning decades or a few centuries. The model is based on the premise that since in a last analysis the preponderance of atmospheric, hydrospheric, and, possibly, some aspects of geospheric phenomena are, or have been, powered by energy issuing from the sun ± either now or in the past ± the long-term behavior of such phenomena is ultimatelỳ`c onnected'' to long-term changes occurring in the sun itself. Accordingly, the proposed research ®rstly derives and models a stable surrogate pattern for the long-term solar activity, secondly introduces a transfer-function algorithm for modeling the connection between the surrogate and terrestrial phenomena viewed as partners in the connection, and thirdly probes the connection outcome for episodic or unanticipated eects that may arise due to the fact that in the present context, the connection, should it exist, is very likely nonlinear. Part I of the study presents the theory of the concept, while Part II demonstrates the concept's pertinence to a number of terrestrial phenomena.

Differences in the quasi‐biennial oscillation and quasi‐triennial oscillation characteristics of the solar, interplanetary, and terrestrial parameters

“…Nuzhdina [2002] claims from a correlation and spectral analysis, a reasonable connection between solar activity, geomagnetic variations, and the cyclic dynamics of ENSO phenomena. Earlier, Diamantides [1998] considered the 11-year solar cycle as modulating the long-term dynamics of the Southern Oscillation during 100 years (1890 -1990). However, no physical mechanism of such a connection is offered.…”

Connection between ENSO phenomena and solar and geomagnetic activity

“…El Niño tends mainly to be associated with the east-wind maximum. A Southern Oscillation model was constructed successfully in a paper by Diamantides (1998). The author considers the 11-year cycle of solar activity to be the cycle, which modulates the long-time dynamics of SO during 100 years .…”